Whatever happens tonight, there’s going to be a lot of elation and a lot of bitter disappointment. The only question is who gets what. So I think it’s always good to start the night with some good news that can bring us all together.
As you know, Rudy Giuliani premises his whole campaign on a late-primary strategy. Basically ignore the first, high-profile, small state contests, and focus on the mega-states on Feb.5th, where the real delegate count is.
The key state for Rudy, the pivot, is Florida at the end of January. A big state a week before the big night where Rudy has invested tons of time and resources. The plan is he comes in first there and sets the stage for his boffo break out on Feb. 5th.
Alas, the latest poll shows Rudy now down in fourth place.