de Blasio’s Move is For Real


A Marist poll out today put the New York City Mayor’s race at a dead heat between Chris Quinn and Bill de Blasio at 24%. Former Comptroller Bill Thompson was at 18%. That’s different than the Quinnipiac Poll from Tuesday which put de Blasio in the lead at 30% with Quinn 6 points and Thompson 8 points back. But I think the upshot is clear: the Q poll was no fluke. From looking to be all but out of the running several weeks ago, he’s consistently gained ground over recent weeks and now likely holds at least a small lead in what is shaping up as a three way race.

Also, notable, Christine Quinn, who was started off as the almost prohibitive frontrunner in the race, looks to be in some trouble. She might well still come in first in the primary. But if you don’t get 40% of the vote, which seems highly unlikely for any contender at this point, you go to a run off. And the polls have consistently shown her losing to either Thompson or de Blasio in a hypothetical run off.