Benchmark

The Congressional generic ballot crossed into Republican territory a few days after the November election. And, according to our composite TPM Poll Average, it just crossed, albeit minutely, into Dem territory: Dem 43.8%, GOP 43.7%. I wouldn’t invest too much in that minuscule margin. But as you can see from the graph, it’s part of a trend. I’ll be interested to see where those numbers go post-Health Care Reform vote. The most recent polls were taken on March 18th. So here’s your pre-vote benchmark.

(To see the full-size graph and data, click here.)