CNN/Time Poll: Miller And Murkowski Tied

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October 20, 2010 12:48 p.m.

The new CNN/Time poll of the Alaska Senate race shows a tied race between Republican nominee Joe Miller and incumbent GOP Sen. Lisa Murkowski, who is running a well-organized write-in campaign after she narrowly lost the Republican primary to the Tea Party challenger.

The numbers: Miller 37%, Murkowski 37%, and Democratic nominee Scott McAdams 23%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3% margin of error. In the previous survey from late September, Miller had 38%, Murkowski 36%, and McAdams 22%.

A caveat: This poll appears to list Murkowski’s write-in bid as a choice for voters to pick. Some other pollsters have listed only Miller and McAdams while accepting Murkowski as a voluntary answer, as Murkowski’s name is not on the ballot. It is not clear which approach is better for polling this unique election, but it seems important to know about.

The TPM Poll Average gives Murkowski 36.7%, Miller 36%, and McAdams 25.5%.

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