The new SurveyUSA poll of the Minnesota gubernatorial race shows a tight contest between Democratic former U.S. Sen. Mark Dayton and Republican state Rep. Tom Emmer, plus some strong support for Independence Party candidate Tom Horner.
The numbers: Dayton 38%, Emmer 36%, and Horner 18%. The survey of likely voters has a ±3.9% margin of error. In the previous poll from early August, taken shortly before Dayton’s narrow win in the Democratic primary — and taken in the wake of press coverage of Emmer’s very entertaining gaffes — Dayton led Emmer and Horner by 45%-36%-10%.
The TPM Poll AVerage gives Dayton 38.9%, Emmer 35.0%, and Horner 14.3%.