New Poll Shows Trump Facing Historic Gap Among Young Voters

Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump listens to a question during an interview after a rally in Virginia Beach, Va., Monday, July 11, 2016. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)
Republican Presidential candidate Donald Trump listens to a question during an interview after a rally in Virginia Beach, Va., Monday, July 11, 2016. (AP Photo/Steve Helber)

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump falls a distant 36 points behind Democratic opponent Hillary Clinton, edging near an unprecedented unpopularity among young voters, according to a new USA Today/Rock the Vote poll of individuals age 18-34.

When asked presidential preference between the two major-party candidates, Millennial voters preferred Clinton, 56-20.

The recent poll puts Trump even further behind President Barack Obama’s Republican opponents in the 2008 and 2012 elections among millennial voters. The 36-percent gap exceeds Obama’s wide leads in the 18- to 29-year-old population, beating John McCain by 34 percent in 2008 and leading Mitt Romney by 23 percent in 2012, according to exit poll results collected by the Roper Center at Cornell University.

With former Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders out of the race, 72 percent of his supporters plan to switch their vote to Clinton, despite Trump’s attempts to lure the Vermont senator’s supporters. Trump successfully wooed 11 percent of Sanders’ supporters, and another 11 percent say they will not vote in the election.

Clinton’s lead over Trump shrinks slightly when third party candidates are added to presidential poll, 50-18, with 11 percent supporting Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and another 4 percent supporting the Green Party’s Jill Stein.

A majority of millennial voters say their presidential choice comes down to opposition to the other major-party candidate, with 54 percent of Trump supporters trying to keep Clinton out of the White House and 51 percent of Clinton’s voters attempting to keep Trump away from the executive branch.

Harvard Institute of Politics’ poll of 18 to 29-year-old voters showed Clinton with a similarly large 26-point lead over Trump in mid-July, 54-28.

The survey, conducted online by Ipsos Public Affairs for USA Today/Rock the Vote, polled 1,539 adults age 18-34, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.6 percent.

Dear Reader,

When we asked recently what makes TPM different from other outlets, readers cited factors like honesty, curiosity, transparency, and our vibrant community. They also pointed to our ability to report on important stories and trends long before they are picked up by mainstream outlets; our ability to contextualize information within the arc of history; and our focus on the real-world consequences of the news.

Our unique approach to reporting and presenting the news, however, wouldn’t be possible without our readers’ support. That’s not just marketing speak, it’s true: our work would literally not be possible without readers deciding to become members. Not only does member support account for more than 80% of TPM’s revenue, our members have helped us build an engaged and informed community. Many of our best stories were born from reader tips and valuable member feedback.

We do what other news outlets can’t or won’t do because our members’ support gives us real independence.

If you enjoy reading TPM and value what we do, become a member today.

Latest Polltracker
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Associate Editor:
Investigations Desk:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: