Democratic challenger Katie McGinty comes out three points ahead of incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) in a Siena College/New York Times Upshot poll of Pennsylvania, indicating a tight U.S. Senate race in the Keystone State.
The race is currently a tossup on TPM’s Senate Scoreboard as polls intermittently show either candidate ahead.
McGinty, a former member of the Bill Clinton administration, leads the poll by thee points, 47-44, among likely Pennsylvania voters.
Siena/NYT Upshot has not recently polled on the Senate race in Pennsylvania, but a recent Quinnipiac poll showed the incumbent senator ahead by four points, 49-45.
The Siena College/NYT Upshot poll was conducted via live telephone interview on Oct. 23-25 among 824 likely Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania shows a tossup, with Toomey leading McGinty, 46.8 to 46.