Poll Shows Big Shift In New Hampshire Governor’s Race

Gov. Maggie Hassan, D-N.H. ,speaks French as she welcomes the New England Governors and eastern Canadian Premiers at the start of their 38th annual conference Monday, July 14, 2014, in Bretton Woods, N.H. Energy and... Gov. Maggie Hassan, D-N.H. ,speaks French as she welcomes the New England Governors and eastern Canadian Premiers at the start of their 38th annual conference Monday, July 14, 2014, in Bretton Woods, N.H. Energy and economic collaboration were the main topics at Sunday and Monday's conference. Eastern Canada is rich in hydropower while New England markets are eager to shore up supply and control some of the nation's highest energy costs. (AP Photo/Jim Cole) MORE LESS
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With a week to go before Election Day, a poll released Monday evening indicated that the election for New Hampshire governor could be closer than previously thought.

The poll by New England College showed New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) leading her challenger Republican Walt Havenstein by just 0.3 percent — 47.2 percent to 46.9 percent.

It was the first poll released showing the race this close. New England College’s recent polling on the race had given Hassan a comfortable lead, with last week’s poll showing a 8.2 percent difference.

“Hassan has maintained a consistent lead, but over the past week the race has become a toss-up” said Wayne Lesperance of New England College in a press release. While the poll could end up an outlier, it is a noteworthy shift so close to Election Day.

The automated telephone poll was conducted on Oct. 24th and surveyed 1,132 likely voters with a margin of error of 2.91 percent.

The TPM PollTracker average on Tuesday showed a 5 point lead for Hassan.

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Notable Replies

  1. This pollster is notorious for bizarre swings that make no sense. Just as this one doesn’t. The race swings 8 points in a week, with no major developments? How often does that really happen?

    A reasonable conclusion? Average the two and conclude the Dem is leading by 4 or 5 – just as the broader polling average says.

  2. Avatar for pmb28 pmb28 says:

    democrats are experts at losng winnable races

  3. Does that make you happy? Do you like seeing racists, homophobes, and people who crap on the poor gaining power? And what are you doing to help this nation? Nothing?

  4. Just for reference, the polls by New England College are also pretty much the only ones that show Scott Brown up against Jeanne Shaheen. Thought that was worth a mention.

  5. Avatar for mymy mymy says:

    The polls are so obviously unbelievable: no electorate swings, in one case I recall, by six points in a single day, without any incident accounting for it.

    This is all about hitting your donors up for more cash. I’m sick of reading about clearly unscientific polling.

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