Second Pollster Finds Big Shift In NH Governor’s Race

FILE This Nov. 6, 2012 file photo shows New Hampshire Gov.-elect Maggie Hassan in Manchester, N.H. When Hassan won the New Hampshire governor's race, it wasn't just a victory for Democrats. Unions spent millions to e... FILE This Nov. 6, 2012 file photo shows New Hampshire Gov.-elect Maggie Hassan in Manchester, N.H. When Hassan won the New Hampshire governor's race, it wasn't just a victory for Democrats. Unions spent millions to elect Hassan because she can block a Republican legislature from gutting their organizing and bargaining ability. From California to Maine, unions used their political muscle to defeat ballot initiatives against them and elect labor-friendly governors and lawmakers. (AP Photo/Jim Cole, File) MORE LESS
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For the second time this week, a poll has come out that showed potential trouble for New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan (D).

An American Research Group poll released Thursday showed Hassan leading Republican challenger Walt Havenstein by 2 percent.

That’s a big shift from an ARG poll conducted last week that had Hassan at a 10-point advantage. The firm’s other recent polling on the race showed her leading by comfortable margins.

The poll came on the heels of a New England College poll earlier this week that showed a large shift in favor of Havenstein. Whether both polls are outliers or are indicating a trend remains to be seen. A poll released Wednesday by the University of New Hampshire showed Hassan leading by 15 points.

The ARG poll surveyed 600 likely voters from Oct. 27 through Oct. 29. The margin of error was 4 percent.

The TPM PollTracker average on Thursday gave Hassan a 5.7 percent lead.

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Notable Replies

  1. For the last ten days, ESPN ran a poll asking which team will win the World Series–the Royals or the Giants. And every day I wished a third choice had been given: time will tell. Between now and next Tuesday, put signs on your lawn,write letters to the paper, engage your friends about who they’re voting for. On election say, cast your ballot. When the polls close, turn on your TV. Otherwise, ask your children what they learned in school, feed your cat, and read a book. Time will tell.

  2. ARG is one of the shittiest pollsters in the game, but two pollsters, even mediocre ones showing something similar can’t be ignored.

  3. Avatar for ralphb ralphb says:

    Why is ARG still in business? Didn’t they get caught publishing fake polls like the ridiculous Research 2000 did?

    At any rate, they’re pathetic.

  4. Avatar for bdtex bdtex says:

    Check ARG’s record folks. I remember deleting them from my favorites list after the 2004 election. Way off. I’ve seen some of their polls since then. Same thing…way off. Don’t know how they stay in business. They must do something else that they’re good at.

  5. I’m sick of all the pollsters. Who gives a fuck? the only poll that matters is on election day.

    And if NH votes in two morons for governor and senator, they’re dead to me.

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