Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) comes out four points ahead of Democratic challenger Katie McGinty in the latest Quinnipiac poll of the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania.
Toomey leads McGinty, a former member of the Bill Clinton administration, by four points, 49-45, among likely Pennsylvania voters.
The incumbent senator’s lead has narrowed since Quinnipiac last polled the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in September. Toomey led +8 in September, and now the poll favors Toomey +4.
The Quinnipiac University poll was conducted Oct. 10-16 via live telephone interview among 660 likely Pennsylvania voters, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania shows Toomey leading McGinty, 46.6 to 44.4.
In the recent past, last month, Nate Silver has acknowledged that Quinnipiac leans Republican and that their model tends to overweight white voters. Also, IIRC, earlier in the campaign, Sam Wang mentioned that some Trump “faux surges” were almost entirely mediated by Quinnipiac results. I think we’ll just have to gotv and wait 'til Nov 9th.