Democrat Holds Massive 12-Point Lead Over Sen. Toomey In Pennsylvania Poll

November 1, 2016 10:26 am

Democratic Senate candidate Katie McGinty holds a distant 12-point lead over incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) in a new poll from Franklin & Marshall University.

The latest poll of the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania is an outlier among most recent polling in the size of McGinty’s advantage over Toomey, but matches most recent polls showing the Democratic challenger taking the lead.

McGinty leads the poll among likely Keystone State voters, 47-35, with Independent Everett Stern polling at 2 percent and Libertarian Edward Clifford III at 1 percent.

The new poll shows an increase for the former member of the Bill Clinton administration, who led Franklin & Marshall’s September poll by six points, 41-35.

Most recent polls of the U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania, including releases from Muhlenberg College/Morning Call and CBS/YouGov, show the candidates either tied or McGinty ahead by a modest four points respectively.

The Franklin & Marshall poll was conducted online and over the phone from Oct. 26-30 among 652 likely Pennsylvania voters, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.1 percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania shows McGinty leading Toomey, 45.1 to 40.2.

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