Hillary Clinton leads by six points after the candidates’ final presidential debate, according to a new national poll from CNN/ORC.
The poll shows Clinton ahead by six points in a head-to-head match, 51-45, in a poll conducted in the four days following the final debate, hosted at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas.
When third-party candidates are included, Clinton leads 49-44, with Libertarian Gary Johnson behind at 3 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.
Clinton’s lead has not changed since CNN/ORC last polled likely voters nationwide in late September/early October, resting at +6 in the head-to-head match and +5 in a four-way poll.
The CNN/ORC poll was conducted via live telephone interview Oct. 20-23 among 779 likely voters nationally and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the general election shows Clinton leading Trump, 50.5 to 43.
The polling is all over the place, from 6 to 11 points. She is going to win, but the real question is how “bigly?”
A double digit win probably gives Dems the Senate and nearly gives them the house.
Trump: That’s a HUUUUUGE move on my part; I cut down the deficit in half. As more and more accusers come forward, higher my bump is. Crooked Hillary will now be scared. Amerika knows the liars from Trumpers.
“Clinton’s lead has not changed since CNN/ORC last polled likely voters nationwide in late September/early October, resting at +6 in the head-to-head match and +5 in a four-way poll.” Really? I don’t trust this poll with no movement in 4 weeks
Everyone’s got to have a little movement at least once every few days.
The CNN/ORC polls have been all over the place and have generally trended in Trump’s direction, particularly at the battleground state level. This is a good result for HRC in this survey, particularly because CNN has adjusted its LV model to show it leaning Dem or no change. But the notion that there has been no change towards Hillary since the end of September? That doesn’t really hold up. It’s just good to get this data point out of the way. There is a lot of junk polling this year, but it does seem to be a tad better than 2012 polling, which was horrifically bad.