Clinton Expands Lead In Suffolk U National Poll Following Debates

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton speaks at a rally at Johnson C. Smith University in Charlotte, N.C., Thursday, Sept. 8, 2016. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)
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Hillary Clinton leads by 10 points nationally following the final presidential debate, according to a new poll from Suffolk University/USA Today.

Clinton comes out ahead of Donald Trump, 49-39, in a head-to-head poll of likely voters nationwide.

Including third-party candidates, Clinton holds a nine-point lead, 47-38, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 4 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.

Clinton gained a few points since Suffolk University/USA Today last polled nationally at the end of August, before all three debates were conducted. At that time, Clinton led +7 and now she leads +10 in a head-to-head match, and when third-party candidates are included, Clinton went from +7 ahead in August to +9 ahead today.

The Suffolk University/USA Today poll surveyed 1,000 likely voters nationwide via live telephone interview from Oct. 20-24, with a margin of error of plus or minus three percent.

TPM’s PollTracker Average for the general election shows Clinton leading Trump, 48.2 to 40.6.

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Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for edys edys says:

    This is the only kind of graph I can wrap my head around-- Hillary headed up, Trump headed down. Anything else causes MAJOR cognitive dissonance

  2. The most striking result in this poll: Clinton’s net unfavorability is down to minus-1 (46/47), while Trump’s is minus-30 (31/61). Time to retire the narrative of both candidates being equally unpopular.

  3. I don’t know if this will help any, but draw a best-fit line through the poll lines and you’ll see this:

  4. The problem with this survey is that it oversampled people likely to vote for Clinton. :grinning:

  5. Avatar for timr timr says:

    The only site I bother to ever look at is 538. I intensely dislike polls, think that people are starting to vote as polls indicate who is winning the latest MSM horse race. Why? Because a significant number of adults in this country really are stupid.
    Which then makes it easy for the GOTP to snap them up because the stupid seem to gravitate to the Authoritarian Follower segment of the GOTP Fascist/Authoritarian base.
    Which then makes me wonder, given that HRC has, according to 538, an 84% chance of winning, what the trumpbots and the GOTP Teahadists will do in the days after the election.
    MPO is that the trumpbots and the Teahadists will leave the GOTP due to the way the GOP has put down and ignored both fragments of the GOTP. In any case that would, in my opinion turn fundraising into a truly massive problem, making it hard, especially for the down ticket people, to pay off their election debts.
    Also making it far more difficult in the future for presidential candidates
    Set aside lots of popcorn for the postelection fratricidal actins by the GOTP. Hope that the teahadist faction gets beat up next month.
    Remember congress has only 11% favorable and since the GOTP took over the House in 2010 and the Senate in 2014 they have not even been able to do that they were supposed to do, thus the(again) CR
    But as long as 70% of the voters can’t be bothered to vote in an off year, the teahadist gop will continuely be reelected due to the GOP base, which is only about 25% of every states registered voters.
    Hopefully, the fraking "freedom caucus " is no longer the minority that runs the House, because those Teahadists are out to destroy the country

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