A Note on the Florida University Ban

Most discussions of Florida’s decision to forbid professors at state universities from serving as expert witnesses in cases challenging its voter suppression laws have focused on it as a question of free speech versus the state. And it is certainly that. In every legal sense it is that. It’s an almost comical abuse of power. But I want to highlight a distinction which may seem semantic but I think is more than that.

The danger is less the state than a certain type of political party, the Trumpite GOP.

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Florida University Blocks Professors From Testifying Against DeSantis’ Prized Voter-Suppression Law

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things.

Champions Of The First Amendment

The University of Florida has barred three professors from testifying for plaintiffs against a law championed by Ron DeSantis that restricts mail-in voting, curtails drop box hours and limits who can provide food or water to those waiting in line to vote. 

  • DeSantis is very proud of this law. He even, bizarrely, signed it during an interview on Fox and Friends, a very on-brand bit of showmanship.
  • In rejecting one of the professors’ requests, the dean of the university’s college of arts and sciences wrote that “outside activities that may pose a conflict of interest to the executive branch of the state of Florida create a conflict for the University of Florida,” according to The New York Times
  • “As UF is a state actor, litigation against the state is adverse to UF’s interests,” school officials said in documents reported by The Washington Post.
  • The professors in question were three political scientists: Daniel A. Smith, Michael McDonald and Sharon Wright.

What Trump Doesn’t Want Us To See

A Saturday court filing by the Department of Justice details what documents Trump has asserted executive privilege over in a bid to hide them from the Jan. 6 committee. 

  • They include “daily presidential diaries, schedules, appointments showing White House visitors, activity logs, call logs, and switchboard shift-change checklists showing phone calls to the President and Vice President, all specifically for or encompassing January 6, 2021.”
  • They include a host of other documents as well: drafts of public remarks related to Jan. 6, handwritten notes concerning Jan. 6, and, interestingly, “a draft proclamation honoring deceased Capitol Police officers Brian Sicknick and Howard Liebengood.”
  • His request is broad, seeking to block about half of the 1,600 pages the National Archives identified as relevant to the Jan. 6 committee’s investigation, Politico notes

Another Day, Another Damning Revelation About Eastman

As then-Vice President Mike Pence was locked down in the capitol, hiding from a mob that was calling for him to be hung, conservative legal scholar John Eastman emailed a screed to Pence’s legal counsel, denouncing the VP’s failure to toss the election results, according to a sprawling new report in the Washington Post.  

  • “Thanks to your bull—-, we are now under siege,” the Pence aide, Greg Jacob, had written in an angry email to Eastman. 
  • “The ‘siege’ is because YOU and your boss did not do what was necessary to allow this to be aired in a public way so that the American people can see for themselves what happened,” Eastman replied, referring to Trump’s false claims of voter fraud.
  • Josh Marshall on this exchange: “In real time, Trump’s message was the same as Eastman’s. You brought it on yourself and they’re my guys. The way to lift the siege is to do the right thing and support the coup.”
  • Even after the attack, Eastman kept up his efforts to push Pence to throw the election, arguing in an email to Jacob that the mob’s attack had caused debate to extend past the allotted two hours, invalidating the whole proceeding. The Post’s Aaron Blake examines that element of the story

Kinzinger Speaks Out On His Retirement

Tomorrow Is Election Day

Both parties and the political press are obsessing over Virginia’s gubernatorial race.

SCOTUS To Mull Abortion Ban That It Previously Found So Confusing

The Supreme Court will hear arguments today on Texas’ draconian abortion ban, looking specifically at its novel and dystopian enforcement mechanism.

  • The Court declined to block the law in September. In an unsigned 5-4 order, the Court expressed confusion over what to do about the fact that everyone is meant to enforce the law, not the state itself. 
  • Since that September order, abortions have ceased in Texas almost entirely. On Saturday Kate Riga published a piece looking at the what the law has meant for abortion providers in adjacent states, who are confronted with their own states’ efforts to restrict abortion access. 
  • Brett Kavanaugh will get special attention from court watchers today, Adam Liptak writes.

This, Somehow, Keeps Happening

A Kansas twice state representative compared mask mandates and vaccine requirements to the holocaust during a Friday hearing, the Kansas City Star reports

  • “This is racism against the modern day Jew,” Rep. Brenda Landwehr of Wichita said during a hearing of the Legislature’s “Interim Committee on Government Overreach and COVID-19 Mandates.”

Not Great!

The Supreme Court said Friday it will consider a series of interrelated questions pertaining to the EPA’s ability to regulate carbon dioxide emissions.

  • It’s a bit of a surprise that the court has taken up this set of petitions from red states and coal companies, E&E News notes
  • “This is the equivalent of an earthquake around the country for those who care deeply about the climate issue,” one environmental law professor, Harvard’s Richard Lazarus, told press
  • It would be extremely difficult for Biden to achieve his climate targets if Congress won’t place penalties on fossil fuels and the Court limits the executive branch’s ability to regulate climate change-causing pollutants.
  • Biden, coincidentally, is headed to Scotland today to tout what his administration can do on climate change and push other world leaders to act.

Is This Week The Week?

We won’t be so presumptuous as to make any predictions there. But some senators — and the President — were sounding bullish over the weekend on the likelihood of a reconciliation package passing the Senate this week. 

  • “I believe we’ll see by the end of next week at home that is passed,” Biden said of the bill Sunday.  
  • Progressives are still waiting for Sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema to say they support the legislation, or for Biden to warrant that they do. 
  • Manchin and progressives continued negotiations on drug pricing provisions through the weekend.

Pizza Story

Imagine that, instead of trying to pass some long sought-after legislation, the Democrats are trying to order a mushroom pizza. Alex Pareene does. The analogy is sort of revealing, and sort of works. Sort of. 

  • “Now the guy says he probably can only get us about half as much pizza as he said he could at first, and also he’s still not really sure when it’s going to arrive, because one of the guys on the Council of Pizza Guys is basically opposed to getting anyone pizza, period, and the rules of the Council of Pizza Guys are pretty complicated and they give each Pizza Guy a lot of power to delay pizza delivery or even just stop all pizzas from being made at all…” (You get the idea.)

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The Most Damning Jan 6th Revelation Yet

As I have noted in other recent posts, much of the recent ‘news’ about the insurrection has not been terribly new. It’s repackaged versions of things we knew or additional evidence and detail. This story published last night in the Post is one of the biggest revelations I’ve seen to date. John Eastman is the Federalist Society right wing law professor who wrote up the legal gloss for the President’s coup plot. It created the connective tissue joining the coup plot within the government with the paramilitary violence that broke out on Capitol Hill on January 6th.

The Post has emails – presumably emerging out of the committee investigation – of what happened during the insurrection. As the insurrectionists were storming the Capitol and Pence was holed up in a secure location as they hunted for him and members of Congress, Eastman emailed Pence and his top aide saying that the insurrection was Pence’s fault for not going through with the coup plot. With the President’s supporters ransacking the Capitol Eastman demanded Pence shift course and do the right thing.

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The Billionaires Tax Wasn’t New

This article first appeared at ProPublica and The New York Times. ProPublica is a Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative newsroom. Sign up for The Big Story newsletter to receive stories like this one in your inbox.

Having stumbled in their attempts to raise taxes on the wealthy in the conventional way, Democrats in Congress moved to unconventional measures.

The proposal was to tax billionaires on their so-called unrealized gains — the growth in the value of assets, such as stocks and real estate, that have not yet been sold. To understand why lawmakers might look to a group of more than 700 billionaires to underwrite a massive spending program, consider this statistic: Since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, billionaires have seen a 70% increase in their wealth, from nearly $3 trillion to an almost incomprehensible $5 trillion, according to Forbes data analyzed by Americans for Tax Fairness and the Institute for Policy Studies Program on Inequality and the Common Good.

Unsurprisingly, critics, the ultrawealthy and even some Democrats decried the idea as novel, untested and dangerous. Other experts worried about whether it would be too difficult to value billionaires’ assets or if the proposal could pass constitutional muster. These attacks ultimately killed the idea in Washington.

But a billionaire’s tax is not nearly as novel and untested as it sounds. The main concepts already exist in the tax code. It just happens that these provisions currently serve the interests of the ultrawealthy class, who have so far skirted most taxes aimed at wealth rather than income.

The ultrawealthy live starkly different financial lives from other people. They hardly make anything in wages, or what the rest of us know as income. Amazon’s Jeff Bezos has typically pulled down a middle-class base salary of around $80,000. Others, like Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg, Oracle’s Larry Ellison and Google’s Larry Page, have, at various points, taken a symbolic $1 in salary.

But many ultrawealthy Americans have figured out how to fund a lavish lifestyle without owing any income tax. Their wealth is almost entirely in assets like stocks, such as the Tesla shares that account for the vast majority of Elon Musk’s $270 billion plus in wealth. Our tax code levies a 23.8% tax on capital gains for those with the highest incomes, but only when an asset is sold. Their holdings can grow by billions of dollars a year, but the wealthy owe nothing as long as they hang on to their shares. When they need money, they borrow it, as Ellison and Musk have done to the tune of billions, pledging the value of shares as collateral. It has been called “Buy, Borrow, Die,” and it’s a wonderful system for the superrich.

This system allows them to enjoy luxury cars, yachts, homes on multiple continents and occasional trips to outer space while reporting, in some cases, a salary of a dollar a year or less to the IRS.

This is why the ultrawealthy are able to pay negligible amounts in taxes, especially compared with the growth in their wealth, as ProPublica reported earlier this year, as part of our series “The Secret IRS Files.” In 2018, Musk paid $0 in federal income taxes. (He declined to discuss his taxes with ProPublica.)

The proposal would have taxed billionaires on those unrealized gains. If shares of Amazon or Facebook or Berkshire Hathaway rise 20% in a year, Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg or Warren Buffett, respectively, would owe taxes on that gain — even if they don’t sell a single share. Assets that are harder to value, such as privately held companies or real estate, would also be subject to tax.

Part of the objection to the billionaire’s tax was that it is a dramatic change from the current tax system, which taxes people only when they realize gains.

That’s untrue. There are several provisions in the current tax code through which unrealized gains are taxed.

Here’s one example of something in the code today. Certain hedge fund managers can do what’s called a 475 election, a maneuver named after Section 475 of the tax code. Using this provision, their entire fund is taxed on its market value at the end of the year. They have to pay taxes on gains, whether they sell the underlying stock or not. Are these hedge fund managers nuts? Nope. They do it because it confers several benefits for certain types of funds (particularly those doing rapid-fire trading every nanosecond), including freeing them from complying with trading rules they may find onerous.

Hedge fund managers are intimately familiar with the concept of placing a value on unrealized gains. Their compensation depends on it. Each year, they get a small percentage, typically 2%, of the assets they manage. If they do well and the fund goes up, they get a performance fee, often 20% of the increase in the fund’s value. How do they determine that 20%? They figure out the unrealized gains. On Dec. 31, they tell their clients that their assets went up and get paid 20% of that amount. If those stocks fall on Jan. 1, they don’t have to give the money back.

The mirror image of unrealized gains also exists in the tax code. Today, businesses that buy equipment get to take a deduction intended to approximate the amount that it loses in value each year. This concept is called depreciation. In other words, you get a deduction based on an estimate, not when you sell something. You could call it an unrealized loss.

And then there’s the wealth tax on unrealized gains that millions of Americans already pay: property taxes, which every owner of a house or apartment is responsible for. Property taxes are a town or city’s estimate of the value of your home or land, almost always in a year you didn’t sell.

The proposal is not a wealth tax, but it has a similar goal of raising money only from the ultrawealthy. Its elegance is that it equates the gain in wealth with income. In theory, a wealth tax, which has its own complexities and constitutional questions, could be layered on top.

When people complain that the new billionaire tax is unconstitutional, they may be forgetting about all of these provisions that exist today that do similar things.

Another argument against such a tax is that it would be too hard to enforce because it’s difficult to value assets accurately. Stock markets reflect a clear value for publicly held companies, but the value of privately held companies, real estate holdings, art and other assets is harder to determine.

That may have been more true 40 years ago, but there are now entire industries dedicated to valuing private assets. Commercial real estate, for example, relies on the work of research and investment banking companies that analyze and value office buildings. And if banks are willing to lend to the ultrawealthy against their assets, presumably they are comfortable valuing them. If all these entities can do it, so can the IRS.

It’s a measure of how much the political conversation about wealth inequality has shifted that this new tax was even considered seriously. While a tax on billionaires for their unrealized gains is not as new as people want to pretend, it clearly would be complex to implement. Perhaps, however, not as complex as getting all Democrats on board.

Texas’ New Abortion Regime Sends Shockwaves Through Neighboring States

The abrupt illegality of most abortions in Texas means more than just an exponential surge in patients spilling over to neighboring states’ clinics — though that’s happening too. 

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What’s Worth Knowing About the ‘Metaverse’

We do political news not tech news. So I don’t want to do too many posts about Facebook and its travails. But as we’ve seen in the first decades of this century the tech behemoths, by their scale, economic heft and integration into our lives are very much part of our politics. So I wanted to share a few thoughts on Facebook’s pivot to the “metaverse” and rebranding as “meta”.

What on earth is the “metaverse”? Basically it’s just virtual reality, VR. Take a bunch of the things you now do in your daily life – talk to friends, play a game, watch a movie, have a work meeting – and you’ll do them in a VR headset in a digital ecosystem controlled by Facebook. Sounds great, right? Honestly, it’s hard for me to imagine anything more dystopian since the defining feature of Facebook is its indifference to “externalities”, the downside impacts of what it is and what it does.

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Virginia Attorney General Demands Conspiratorial State Sen Share Evidence For Her Wild Claims

Virginia’s attorney general has had enough, demanding that a conspiratorial state senator provide evidence for her “baseless” assertions that the upcoming election results will reflect Democratic cheating. 

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Why Won’t Manchin And Sinema Endorse The Reconciliation Framework?

While negotiations over the reconciliation bill continue at an agonizingly slow pace, some major pieces fell into place this week. 

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