Elon Musk’s Trying To Bully Advertisers Into Paying For Twitter Impulse Buy

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

Gimme Gimme!

Soon after completing his $44 billion Twitter purchase, Tesla CEO Elon Musk discovered that advertisers aren’t interested in playing along with his vision of “free speech” — not if that vision means gutting the platform’s content moderation policies that kept neo-Nazis from turning Twitter into 4chan.

  • Musk’s new solution for convincing skittish advertisers to pay for the toy he bought on impulse: Mock them for allegedly supporting “political ‘correctness'” if they pull out from the platform.

  • The billionaire also knows his plan to make verified users pay $8 a month for blue checkmarks (“Power to the people!”) isn’t going over so well either, so he’s trying to change their minds with D-tier memes he undoubtedly stole from some corner of the internet:
  • Remember that Musk tried to worm his way out of this purchase. He finally went through with the deal because his court battles with Twitter to walk back the deal were going poorly for him.

Bolduc Whines About Being Confronted With Election Denier Past

Republican nominee Don Bolduc, a previously hardcore election denier who’s been watering down said denialism ahead of the general election, got upset when the 2020 election came up during his final New Hampshire Senate debate against incumbent Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH) last night.

House Chair Demands Answers From USCP On Pelosi Attack

House Administration Committee chair Zoe Lofgren (D-CA), whose committee oversees the U.S. Capitol Police, wrote a letter to the USCP chief on Tuesday grilling him on the department’s security system for lawmakers in wake of the attack on House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s (D-CA) husband, Paul Pelosi.

MAGA Coup Plotters Bet On Clarence Thomas To Help

Trump lawyers John Eastman and Kenneth Chesebro believed ultra-conservative Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas would be their best chance for a favorable judicial ruling in their quest to overturn the 2020 election results, according to Eastman’s newly released emails.

“Realistically, our only chance to get a favorable judicial opinion by Jan. 6, which might hold up the Georgia count in Congress, is from Thomas — do you agree, Prof. Eastman?” Chesebro wrote on Dec. 31, 2020.

“I think I agree with this,” Eastman replied.

Kash Patel Granted Immunity To Testify In Mar-a-Lago Doc Probe

Kash Patel, a Trump loyalist installed at the Defense Department late in the Trump administration, is slated to testify in the Justice Department’s investigation into Trump hoarding government documents at his Mar-a-Lago resort, according to the Wall Street Journal.

  • Patel is reportedly getting immunity for his testimony, meaning that so as long as he is truthful in front of the grand jury the DOJ can’t use his testimony against him.
  • Patel was the first Trump official to claim the ex-president had already declassified the documents the FBI found at Mar-a-Lago.

Trump Org Suddenly Settles In Protesters’ 2015 Lawsuit

Trump’s lawyers have a lot on their plate right now with New York, the Justice Department, and Congress, so maybe it’s not a surprise that the Trump Organization abruptly settled with the protesters who were suing over the then-candidate ordering his security team to violently crack down on their protest against his racist comments outside Trump Tower in 2015.

  • The settlement came after a mere three days of trial, when Trump’s legal team struggled to find jurors in the Bronx who didn’t already feel a certain kind of way about the ex-president.
  • What are the terms of the settlement? No idea. Neither party disclosed them.

Key Analysis

“​​The hidden, unsolvable problem with polls — and people who love them” – The Washington Post

In past decades, elections were easier to call. One party often amassed a huge lead, and a pollster could make serious errors and still name the right winner. But as our country has become increasingly partisan and divided, swing voters are scarce. Easy landslide victories are rare, and close elections are the new norm.

Polls can’t handle this new reality. National polls typically miss the final result by two to four percentage points, and pollsters haven’t become more (or less) accurate over time.

Must Read

“When Your Neighbor Turns You In” – Wired

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Where Things Stand: What You’ll Hear In Biden’s Speech On Democracy Tonight

President Biden and his team have reportedly been planning to have the President deliver a speech on protecting democracy ahead of the midterms for some time. But the recent uptick in threats and political violence as we get closer to the election — including the very high profile attack on the husband of the woman second in the line of secession — expedited the urgency of the message.

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What Paul Pelosi’s Alleged Attacker Has Already Admitted

Following last week’s attack on Paul Pelosi — husband of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) — both the Department of Justice and the State of California have moved to prosecute the alleged attacker, David Wayne DePape, who was arrested at the scene and who has pleaded not guilty to state charges.

Amid conflicting early reports, conspiracy theories from the far-right and smears against the Pelosi family, it’s easy to overlook the fact that the alleged attacker already confessed to police, according to court filings in the state and federal cases against him.

What he’s admitted to, these filings show, lay to rest wild conjecture that has accompanied the case.

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Emails Show Eastman’s Central Role In Allegedly Fraudulent Lawsuit

Trump attorney John Eastman expected that filing a Big Lie lawsuit seeking to overturn Biden’s win in Georgia might just lead to criminal investigation, new messages show.

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Election Countdown #3

Until today, there was a dearth of quality polling over the last 10 days on the congressional generic ballot as well as in key Senate races. That changed today. Multiple, high quality polls confirm a significant shift in the national race in favor of Republicans. Sometimes there is systematic polling error across multiple pollsters. Indeed, it’s happened a couple times in recent years, albeit in the opposite direction. But if these polls are broadly accurate they tell a clear story.

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The Israeli Electoral College

As I noted earlier, Benjamin Netanyahu is headed back to being Prime Minister. There’s still some question about how many seats he’ll have. But he’ll be PM either way. Title notwithstanding, Israel does not have an electoral college. But I use that headline because this article in the Haaretz notes something with a comparable effect. The pro- and anti-Netanyahu camps both got roughly the same number of votes, both just over 49%. But Netanyahu’s bloc will likely get as many as 65 out of 120 seats — a comfortable majority by recent standards.

So how did this happen?

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Jan. 6 Panel To Eastman: We’re Keeping the Documents

On Sunday, John Eastman — one of the key architects of Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 presidential election — complied with a federal district judge’s order and turned in eight emails to the House select committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack. But as he turned them in, he also asked committee members to refrain from looking at the documents till he got a chance to file an appeal for the judge’s order.

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Federal Judge Bars Far Right Group Surveilling Drop Boxes In Arizona

A federal judge issued a temporary restraining order on Tuesday evening against a far-right group accused of intimidating voters in Arizona.

Voting rights groups filed two lawsuits against the group, Clean Elections USA, over the past few weeks after they organized members to surveil drop boxes throughout Arizona, seeking to prevent supposed “ballot fraud.” The federal judge merged the suits.

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Blue Flu

I’ve never thought of myself as a down the line supporter of criminal justice reform. But many reformers (and others, including myself) have claimed that police departments have backed off enforcement in response to criticism of police or policy changes as a kind of silent strike or work stoppage. And new data from San Francisco adds real weight to these claims. As study conducted by economists from New York University’s Public Safety Lab in partnership with The San Francisco Chronicle found that after reform DA Chesa Boudin was recalled and replaced by mayoral appointee Brooke Jenkins, traffic stops rose by 30% and “public order” stops rose by 20%. The shift was more or less immediate.

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