The Donald’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Day

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

Is It Finally Happening?

I would love to style this as the legal vise is finally closing on Donald Trump. Or the wheel of justice grinds slow but fine. Or that the courts have finally had enough of Trump’s inane legal arguments.

Maybe we’ll look back in a few months and conclude those would have been accurate ways to frame yesterday’s events. But given how many times we’ve reached back to kick that football right out of Lucy’s hands only to swing at air, it’d be a little credulous and overdetermined to proclaim that accountability is finally at hand.

But … maybe it is?

Over the course of a single hour yesterday afternoon, things went very badly for Donald Trump.

  • Trump’s legal arguments in the Mar-a-Lago documents case were absolutely pulverized by a federal appeals court.
  • After years of litigation, the Supreme Court declined to weigh in on whether Trump’s tax returns must be turned over to the House Ways & Means Committee, ending his path to legal recourse to block the move.

Both legal setbacks for Trump came against a backdrop of other looming risks for him: Jean Carroll is poised to tack on new, more serious charges to her claims that Trump raped and defamed her; the trial of the Trump Org for tax fraud continues in New York City; and the trial of Oath Keepers for seditious conspiracy for the Jan. 6 attack continues in Washington, D.C.

Let’s focus on Mar-a-Lago for the moment.

How Bad Was It For Trump?

Sample headlines from the Mar-a-Lago oral arguments:

NYT: Court Appears Ready to End Special Master Review in Trump Files Inquiry

WaPo: Appeals panel grills Trump lawyer over FBI search of Mar-a-Lago

CNN: Appeals court is dubious of Trump’s arguments for special master review of Mar-a-Lago search

Bloomberg: Trump Faces Skeptical Appeals Court in Mar-a-Lago Document Fight With DOJ

No, But How Bad Was It Really?

Former U.S. Acting Solicitor General Neal Katyal: “My god, in the Trump Special Master appeal, I don’t think I’ve ever heard an oral argument go worse for a litigant. … They are demolishing Trump’s lawyer. It’s not close.”

Former U.S. Attorney Harry Litman: “Trumps lawyer got beaten up pretty badly. He lurched at the end for a whole new argument about a general warrant, and the court called him out on it.”

Former U.S. Attorney Joyce Alene: “A hot bench & not a very receptive one for Trump in Atlanta just now. In 40 minutes of argument, all 3 judges seemed inclined to rule against him.”

Law professor Orin Kerr: “From what I can tell, the idea of creating special rules for former Presidents to help them think of new arguments they can make to challenge the government when they are under criminal investigation does not seem to have a lot of legs in the 11th Circuit today.”

What The Judges Said

It’s almost always a mistake to take what judges say in oral arguments literally, but in this case the thrust of the judges’ questions was unmistakeable:

  • “I don’t think it’s necessarily the fault of the government if someone has intermingled classified documents and all kinds of other personal property.”
  • “Do you think that ‘raid’ is the right term for execution of a warrant?”
  • “Do you think it’s rare that the target of a warrant thinks the government is overreaching?”
  • “Other than the fact that this involves a former president, everything else about this is indistinguishable from any pre-indictment search warrant.” 
  • “If you can’t establish that it was unlawful, then what are we doing here?”

Finally, The Tax Returns

I doubt the public is going to see Trump’s tax returns any time soon, and there’s very little time left in the current Congress for the House Ways & Means Committee to make robust use of them. So in that sense, I suppose, Trump’s delays worked and he “won.” But his exhaustion of the legal paths to fight the committee, and especially the Supreme Court’s refusal to weigh in, does amount to a vindication of the rule of law, albeit a modest one.

What Did Lindsey Say?

Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) finally testified Tuesday before the Georgia grand jury investigating Trump’s 2020 election meddling. It doesn’t appear that Graham invoked the 5th Amendment or declined to answer questions on Speech and Debate Clause grounds. In contrast to Graham’s vigorous legal fight to avoid testifying, his office released a mild statement that he answered all the questions asked of him.

No word yet on whether Mike Flynn testified to the grand jury yesterday as scheduled.

Business As Usual

Republicans are fighting like hell to prevent Saturday voting in the Georgia runoff for U.S. Senate.

Keep An Eye On Arizona

The election-denying GOP nominee for attorney general has filed suit over the election results, ahead of what is expected to be an automatic recount in his race.

Overnight Shooting At Virginia Walmart

A gunman opened fire at a Walmart in Chesapeake, Virginia, late Tuesday night killing at least six people. The shooter was reportedly found dead inside the store, but it was unclear how he died.

Picking Through The Pieces Of The Last Mass Shooting

The 22-year-old Colorado Springs gunman legally changed his name as a teenager after being the victim of a brutal episode of online bullying, the Washington Post reports. The newspaper also confirmed that the shooter is the grandson of California state Rep. Randy Voepel.

AP Reporter Fired

The AP has terminated James LaPorta, a 35-year-old national security reporter involved in the erroneous report that an errant missile strike in Poland was fired by Russia.

The situation is, to put it mildly, complicated, but the internal Slack messages leading up to the faulty AP alert bathe no one in glory:

All By Myself

Céline Dion en concert en mars 1996 (Photo by Lionel FLUSIN/Gamma-Rapho via Getty Images)

TPM’s Kate Riga wrote a brilliant account of the oral arguments that is centered on Trump’s weird fixation with a Celine Dion photograph the FBI seized at Mar-a-Lago.

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Is Long COVID Part Of The Historically Tight Labor Market? Signs Point to Yes.

Amanda Finley got interested in archeology when her third grade teacher spent the school year on it. “I just loved it,” she said. Finley decided then that she wanted to become an archeologist, and she did.

Continue reading “Is Long COVID Part Of The Historically Tight Labor Market? Signs Point to Yes.”

Where Things Stand: A Fight From Another Era

The Supreme Court today rejected Donald Trump’s last-ditch request that the High Court block House Democrats from viewing his tax returns, meaning House Democrats can attempt to finally get the records from the Treasury Department before Republicans take back the House in January.

The order was brief, unsigned and noted no dissents.

Continue reading “Where Things Stand: A Fight From Another Era”

Your Day in MAGA Domestic Terrorists

Today we have a criminal complaint filed in the Eastern District of Michigan against Neil Matthew Walter who the United States government charges with making threats against the lives of Congressman John Garamendi (D-CA) and FBI Director Christopher Wray. On checking Walter’s Facebook page investigators found “numerous comments stating beliefs that half the Senators, the FBI, CIA, police, Tom Cruise, and Elon Musk are involved in a child slave rape ring, listing various locations where these rings are located, one of which identified the United States Capitol Building.”

In other words, yet another QAnon/MAGA domestic terrorist riled up by the endless parade of incitement usually centering on Democrats running pedophilia rings. Another player in the same bucket as the man who bashed in the head of Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s husband days before the midterm election.

Walter’s interest in Cruise and Musk just adds a bit of variety to the mix.

Continue reading “Your Day in MAGA Domestic Terrorists”

Second Woman To Allege Walker Paid For Her Abortion Dares Him To Face Her Before Runoff

Jane Doe — the unnamed woman who came forward in late October alleging that in 1993 Senate candidate Herschel Walker (R) pressured her to get an abortion — is challenging Walker to meet her in person before Georgia’s runoff election, which is scheduled for Dec. 6.

Continue reading “Second Woman To Allege Walker Paid For Her Abortion Dares Him To Face Her Before Runoff”

Appellate Court Sharply Critical Of Trump Position In Mar-a-Lago Documents Case

Former President Donald Trump’s lawyer presented his stew of rapidly changing, sometimes conflicting, always ephemeral legal arguments in the case stemming from the August raid of Mar-a-Lago to a panel of appellate judges on Tuesday — who often reacted with incredulity. 

Continue reading “Appellate Court Sharply Critical Of Trump Position In Mar-a-Lago Documents Case”

Charges Dropped Against Another Man Swept Up In DeSantis’s Voter Fraud Stunt

Prosecutors have dropped charges against a Florida man who was arrested in August for allegedly voting illegally, according to local reports.

Tampa resident Tony Patterson was one of 20 people accused of voting illegally in the 2020 election by Republican Governor Ron DeSantis. The individuals were arrested back in August by the Florida Office of Election Crimes and Security, a division formed within Florida’s Department of State to investigate supposed election malfeasance, and one that has been widely criticized as a political stunt on DeSantis’ part as the governor courts MAGA voters and flirts with 2024 ambitions.

Continue reading “Charges Dropped Against Another Man Swept Up In DeSantis’s Voter Fraud Stunt”

American Tableau

We build stories out of the messy, contradictory realities of our lives. Rich Fierro is the hero of the mass shooting at the Club Q, the gay club in Colorado Springs, Colorado. We need more heroes and fewer events that create them. Fierro is a retired Army major who appears to have had something approaching a flashback, a reflex response from the brutalizing violence he experienced in Iraq when Anderson Lee Aldrich opened fire in the night club.

These are the indelible memories, psychic damage that haunt so many veterans. In interviews, Fierro has said they haunt him too and were one of the reasons he left the military. In this moment, though, they were lifesaving. Fierro rushed, tackled, disarmed and violently beat Aldrich, alongside another patron and a trans dancer in the club who helped subdue him. Numerous accounts include the evocative detail that the dancer helped subdue Aldrich by stomping him with her high heel.

Continue reading “American Tableau”

The Army Major Who Stopped The Colorado Springs Gunman

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

A Good Guy Without A Gun

A remarkable account of the heroics of Richard M. Fierro, a retired Army major who was watching a drag show at a Colorado Springs gay club with his wife and daughter and her boyfriend, when he heard the sound of small arms fire.

  • “I don’t know exactly what I did, I just went into combat mode. I just know I have to kill this guy before he kills us.”
  • “These kids want to live that way, want to have a good time, have at it. I’m happy about it because that is what I fought for, so they can do whatever they hell they want.”
  • “I grabbed the gun out of his hand and just started hitting him in the head, over and over.”
  • “In combat, most of the time nothing happens, but it’s that mad minute, that mad minute, and you are tested in that minute. It becomes habit. I don’t know how I got the weapon away from that guy, no idea. I’m just a dude, I’m a fat old vet, but I knew I had to do something.”
  • “Driving home from the hospital I told them, ‘Look, I’ve gone through this before, and down range, when this happens, you just get out on the next patrol. You need to get it out of your mind.’ That is how you cured it. You cured it by doing more. Eventually you get home safe. But here I worry there is no next patrol. It is harder to cure. You are already home.”

The boyfriend was killed in the shooting.

Preach, Brother

Scoopage

Maricopa County clarifies to TPM’s Kaila Philo the exact circumstances in which its top election official spent election night in an undisclosed location under the armed guard of sheriff’s deputies.

The Day Ahead

This afternoon, the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals will hear oral arguments in the the Mar-a-Lago documents case. We’ll be covering closely. Please join us!

Reminder: DOJ wants the appeals court to end the specious special master process put in place by U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon. The appeals court has already shown deep skepticism toward the trial judge’s rulings in the case, so the Justice Department is expected to prevail. But we’ll get a better sense of where the appeals court stands and perhaps how quickly it will rule in today’s proceedings.

Meanwhile down in Georgia, Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Mike Flynn are scheduled to testify in the grand jury investigation into Trump’s 2020 election meddling.

Special Counsel Gets Started

Special counsel Jack Smith effectively entered his appearance in the Mar-a-Lago case yesterday. Smith remains in Europe recovering from injuries sustained in a bike accident.

The worst thing about the special counsel mechanism is that it personalizes prosecutions and turns it into a mano-a-mano confrontation between prosecutor and defendant.

There is something about the depersonalized legions of career prosecutors at DOJ doing their slow, plodding work that vindicates the law. The press coverage always tries to turn it into a showdown at the OK Corral, but it’s hard when the prosecutors are more or less replaceable figures in an institutional setting. Special counsel, though, tees up a certain kind of highly personalized coverage. Alas, here we go.

The Price Of Trumpism

The final numbers are in: 2 of the 10 House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump will be returning to the new Congress.

High On Their Own Supply

LOL headline of the day: GOP centrists prepare to ‘flex our muscles’

2024 Is Gonna Be Insane

The race among those not named Trump to come off as Trump-like is going to be not just shameless but damaging in its own right. Here’s a sample: Trump-lite Mike Pompeo declares teachers union head Randi Weingarten the most dangerous person in the world.

Jury Deliberating In Oath Keepers Case

After more than six weeks of trial testimony, closing arguments wrapped up Monday, and the seditious conspiracy case against Stewart Rhodes and his fellow Oath Keepers is now with the jury. Stay tuned.

On Again Off Again … And Back On?

The new Manhattan DA can’t seem to make up his mind. After shutting down the criminal investigation of Donald Trump immediately after taking office, prompting the resignations of top prosecutors, Alvin Bragg reportedly wants back in the game now.

The New York Times account is long and convoluted and suggests a renewed focus on Trump’s hush money payments to porn actress Stormy Daniels. But it doesn’t appear as if new prosecutorial steps will be taken any time soon.

Scoundrel Watch

Alex Jones has been moving money around – LOTS of money – since the Sandy Hook families began closing in on damage awards against him of more than $1 billion, according to this well-reported Washington Post piece.

‘The Majority Of Those Who Died Were Children’ 

More than 200 people dead in earthquake in Indonesia.

No Turning Back

Earthset

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