Let’s Face it: He’s a Mess

I got another note from TPM Reader NS this morning. He expresses rightful frustration with the way that elite media continues to focus on Trump’s recent antics as an extended tantrum or flawed strategy when it is much more appropriately seen as a mental and cognitive state which is manifestly unfit for holding public office. Trump is also not morally fit for office. But that’s different, and that’s always been the case. The normal rejoinder is that Trump’s mental fitness is sort of irrelevant since most of us already know that and his supporters don’t care. Those conclusions are mostly true as far as it goes. But it represents a failure of journalistic logic which is remarkably widespread in media today. Put simply, that reasoning is mainly above the pay grade of journalism. It’s not the job of journalism to adjust the editorial choices or insights of daily news coverage based on driving electoral or public opinion outcomes. It’s to cover the news. There’s no single way to cover the news and no single, objective version of what constitutes the news. But that reasoning about impact is not an appropriate one and it is deeply damaging to journalism in myriad ways.

Here’s NS

Continue reading “Let’s Face it: He’s a Mess”  

Thunderdomism In the Rearview

I got an email last night from a reporter doing a piece on Ezra Klein and his prominence in Democratic politics. They asked me how I felt my own piece criticizing his Thunderdome primary proposal held up given recent events and whether I saw Klein’s arguments differently now. It was an interesting question. So I thought I’d share with you what I wrote. I’m not identifying the journalist or the publication. Because I’m not trying to get a jump on them or get in the way of their piece. I’m doing it because it’s a good and interesting question. I took some time to write out a response and I thought you might be interested in seeing it.

Here it is.

Continue reading “Thunderdomism In the Rearview”  

Project 2025’s Christian Nationalist Roots Exposed In Secret Recording

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

‘I Think You Have To Rehabilitate Christian Nationalism’

The nonprofit Centre for Climate Reporting ran a journalistic sting operation on Project 2025 architect Russ Vought, who was the director of the White House Office of Management and Budget in the Trump administration and has been at the forefront of preparing for the takeover of the federal government in a Trump II presidency.

I’ve written before about my reservations about the difficulty of where to draw the ethical lines around these kinds of reporting tactics, so I’m not go to revisit that here, but the gist of the setup is that a CCR reporter and a paid actor pretended to be relatives of a fictitious big-dollar donor looking to support Project 2025 financially. They lured Vought to a Washington, D.C., hotel last month and surreptitiously recorded him.

CNN, among others, has an abbreviated write-up of CCR’s report.

It’s a very revealing window into how Vought talks about it all in private. When he says, ‘I think you have to rehabilitate Christian nationalism,’ that validates a lot of the reporting that TPM has been doing about the undercurrents informing Project 2025. Not so much undercurrent now is it?

For a lot of people reading this yesterday, it served as “proof” that the suspected nefariousness of Project 2025 is closely tied to Trump himself. I frankly think that was already firmly established and not in doubt, so I’m not sure how much more that really adds, especially when you consider the dynamic here. Vought thought he was talking to representatives of a potential donor so of course he’s going to tout his influence, power, and close ties to Trump while downplaying Trump’s recent efforts to distance himself from Project 2025. His incentives are lined up here in a way that makes these not admissions against his own interest.

Still, there’s a lot to chew on here:

TPM Interviews Bernie Sanders

In a (non-surreptitious) interview with TPM’s Hunter Walker, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) gives his seal of approval to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz (D).

This Lands Extra Hard When Voiced By Someone Else

@whatchugotforme

How to be a black woman

♬ original sound – NewsNation

On The Trail

Fun With Maps

Doug Sosnik has a very intuitive Electoral College map graphic up at the NYT showing the different paths to 270 electoral votes for Kamala Harris and Donald Trump.

2024 Ephemera

  • Welcome back, Corey? The Trump campaign has brought on five new senior advisers: Corey Lewandowski, Tim Murtaugh, Taylor Budowich, Alex Pfeiffer, and Alex Bruesewitz.
  • On a first-name basis: Harris is leaning into ‘Kamala’
  • So much cheese to go around: Trump made $300,000 off that cheesy endorsement of cheesy Lee Greenwood’s cheesy “God Bless the USA” Bible.
  • Speaking of cheesy: These kinds of videos are really, really hard to pull off without triggering my cringe reflex, but I actually made it all the way through this without suffering second-hand embarrassment:

Trump Shooting Update

  • In the aftermath of last month’s assassination attempt, the Secret Service has redeployed some members of President Biden’s protective team to the Trump campaign.
  • Trump could resume outdoor campaign rallies at some point as the Secret Service arranges to surround his podium with bulletproof glass, multiple sources told ABC News.

Trump Tries To Postpone His Sentencing Again

Trump is making a new effort to once again delay his sentencing in the New York hush money case, which was already moved back once to Sept. 18.

Abortion Watch

The Montana Supreme Court unanimously ruled that the state’s parental consent law for minors seeking abortions violates the privacy clause in the state constitution.

For Your Radar …

The full 11th Circuit Court of Appeals has set aside a three-judge panel decision supportive of transgender care and agreed to rehear the case, Chris Geidner reports.

Meanwhile, In Florida …

Sarasota Herald-Tribune: New College of Florida tosses hundreds of library books, empties gender diversity library

Enjoy Your Weekend!

Sending you off with this week’s extended conversation between Nick Cave and Stephen Colbert, two smart, literate, spiritual, and emotionally attuned men who have dealt with grievous loss at different stages of their lives, which gifted them with great insight and perspective:

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Trump’s Latest Press Strategy: Reading Off A Piece Of Paper In Front Of Reporters

Donald Trump held another press conference on Thursday, this time outside of his golf resort in Bedminster, New Jersey, where he succeeded in dragging a bunch of reporters to his front stoop so he could read off a piece of paper before answering a series of softball questions that gave him a runway to touch on each of his pet irritations.

Continue reading “Trump’s Latest Press Strategy: Reading Off A Piece Of Paper In Front Of Reporters”  

Bernie Sanders Makes The Progressive Case For Kamala Harris

Shortly before he was tapped to be Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz called Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT). 

“I’m not going to tell you that he’s a close friend — he’s not — but we’ve been in touch and touch recently,” Sanders said of Walz in a conversation with TPM on Wednesday. “What I like about him is he is a very down-to-earth guy.”

And so, like others in the left wing of the Democratic Party, Sanders was pleased to see Walz join the ticket in light of his record as governor, which includes enacting multiple progressive policy priorities — legislation of the sort Sanders has supported for years, including paid sick leave, strong protections for unions, universal school meals, free college tuition programs, and a child tax credit. 

“I think he is able to communicate with working class people very, very effectively. And I think he has a record in Minnesota that — given the fact that he doesn’t have much of a majority in the legislature there — he’s been able to get through a lot of very positive and progressive pieces of legislation,” Sanders said of Walz.

“I like the idea that he is a former football coach, a teacher, a down-to-earth guy,” the senator added, “and I think he’s a real asset for her ticket.”

The progressive enthusiasm for Walz is notable because Sanders and others on the left were staunch backers of President Joe Biden before he abandoned his re-election bid and endorsed Harris. Progressive champions in Congress, including Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), were some of the most prominent leaders to stand behind Biden as other Democrats pressed him to leave the race. That support was a direct result of Biden’s legislative agenda, which the White House crafted with input from unity task forces that included Sanders and his allies. Biden’s first chief of staff, Ron Klain, also made a point of reaching out to the left and developed a reputation as a progressive ally in the West Wing. 

It remains to be seen whether Harris will adopt a similarly progressive agenda and whether Walz or another figure might emerge as a key liaison to the left, in the way that Klain did post-2020. For his part, Sanders is willing to be patient. Harris, after all, had to start her campaign against former President Donald Trump in an unprecedented sprint following Biden’s exit from the presidential race last month. 

“I just don’t want to get into that right now because it’s still — you know, in fairness to the vice president, she’s had to move very, very quickly in a few weeks,” Sanders said when asked if progressives had the level of contact with Harris and her team that they enjoyed with Biden. “She’s been going around the country. She’s enjoying very large crowds. You know, I think she’s doing a good job. The polling is looking very good. We hope it continues.” 

Senator Bernie Sanders from Vermont speaks at a “Get Out The Vote” rally on the weekend before the Democratic Primary in New York, June 22, 2024. (Photo by Yuki IWAMURA / AFP) (Photo by YUKI IWAMURA/AFP via Getty Images)

Biden’s push for unity early in his term came after Sanders spent years energizing the Democratic Party’s left flank, including young voters. The Vermont senator is an independent, but he caucuses with the Democrats and he ran for the party’s presidential nomination in 2016 and 2020. In both cases, Sanders won significant support from key Democratic constituencies. His campaign also helped spark the careers of Ocasio-Cortez and other progressives who would go on to serve in Congress and local legislatures. After the 2016 race exposed divisions between Sanders and more mainstream Democratic figures, Biden actively worked to bring the party together. 

While Harris may not yet have made any formal unity efforts with the left flank, Sanders and other progressives can take heart in the early details about her policy platform. Harris is set to deliver a speech in North Carolina Frida focused on her economic plan Friday. She will reportedly focus on confronting price gouging along with other measures to lower the cost of living. Harris also plans to discuss bolstering the child tax credit, another progressive policy priority. Sanders was enthusiastic when asked about Harris’ focus on price gouging.

“One of the realities of why we have had inflation is that large corporations who monopolize sector after sector who are making record breaking profits are making those record breaking profits because they are gouging consumers,” Sanders said. “We’re seeing that in the food industry. We’re seeing that in the fossil fuel industry. We’re seeing that in many industries across the country. So, I think the fact that she is talking about that is absolutely right. We’ve got to stop price gouging.”

Not all of Harris’ initial policy signals line up with Sanders’ own priorities. As she rolled out her economic agenda, Harris’ campaign quietly signaled that she would not support Medicare For All, the senators’ signature health care policy. And, while progressives have expressed confidence that Harris will do more to oppose Israel’s war in Gaza than Biden, she has yet to outline a detailed position on the conflict, which has been a major source of friction between the White House and the left. Nevertheless, Sanders expressed optimism about Harris emerging agenda and flatly stated he sees her as a fellow “progressive.”

“She’s balancing a dozen different factors,” he said, during what is “literally a unique political moment in American history. Nobody’s had to do what she has to do, put together a campaign, and a team, and an agenda, and a schedule, all that in a short period of time.”

“I’ve known Kamala for a number of years. We served together in the Senate, we ran against each other in the presidential primary. I think she is a progressive,” Sanders continued, adding, “She’s going to have to formulate what her views are, and I think she will do that. And I think she stands on a record. She’s been part of the Biden administration and that’s been a progressive agenda. And I hope very much that in the coming weeks and months she will be bringing forth an agenda that speaks to the needs of working families.”

Sanders is also working to have input on Harris’ agenda. Earlier this month, Sanders unveiled polling from the progressive firm Data For Progress. The survey, which Sanders used to make the case that Democrats should adopt a progressive policy agenda, showed strong public support for a suite of policies including raising taxes on the wealthy, increasing the minimum wage, expanding Social Security and Medicare, the child tax credit, and lowering the cost of prescription drugs. 

Biden has supported measures in line with some of Sanders’ priorities, but they have proved difficult to pass through Congress due to opposition from more moderate Democrats and Republicans, an impasse that caused Sanders to express some frustration. “I think it has a lot to do with money and politics, but I think at the end of the day, you have a whole lot of people who are working class people who are hurting,” he said. “In fact, we have 60 percent of people living paycheck to paycheck. We have the highest rate of childhood poverty of almost any major country on Earth. We’ve got half of our senior citizens trying to get by on $30,000 or less. That is the reality. People can’t afford housing, they can’t afford health care, and it is a reality.”

As a result of those challenges, Sanders wants to see more Democrats vocally get behind measures like expanding Medicare to cover dental, hearing, and vision costs, and removing the cap on Social Security taxation so the wealthy pay a full share of their income into the program. 

“All of these are sensible ideas, been talked about for years, so my own thought is that if we want to win over working class people who’ve become disillusioned with the status quo politics, I think reaching out and talking about these issues is the right thing to do,” said Sanders.

As he outlined the challenges facing many Americans and areas where he’d like to see Democrats shift their priorities, Sanders stressed that he believes both Biden and Harris have made real progressive achievements. 

“President Biden and Vice President Harris have a right to be proud of what they have accomplished over the last three and a half years. When Biden ran for office … he said he wanted to be the most progressive president since FDR and I think, in many ways, he has. He kept his word,” Sanders said. “They should be proud of their accomplishments in a number of areas, but at the same time, you cannot close your eyes to the reality of what tens and tens of millions of people, working class people are experiencing.”

US Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (L), Democrat of New York; US Independent Senator Bernie Sanders (C) from Vermont and US Representative Jamaal Bowman, Democrat of New York, attend a “Get Out The Vote” rally on the weekend before the Democratic Primary in New York, June 22, 2024. (Photo by Yuki IWAMURA / AFP) (Photo by YUKI IWAMURA/AFP via Getty Images)

Indeed, a striking feature of the political landscape since Sanders’ initial foray into presidential politics is the fact progressivism has taken root in the White House while, in Congress, some of Sanders’ allies have not been able to hold onto their seats. This election cycle has seen Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D-NY) and Rep. Cori Bush (D-MO) — two members of the Sanders-aligned “Squad” in the House — defeated in primary challenges. Those races were defined by massive spending against them from AIPAC and other groups who oppose critics of the way in which Israel’s prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, has handled the war in Gaza, which has left tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians dead.

To Sanders, the extent to which special interest groups and megadonors influence elections is “one of the outrages of the current political scene.” He has unsuccessfully pushed the Democratic National Committee to prohibit the use of Super PAC funding in the party’s primaries. 

“Getting back to AIPAC, it’s not just that they defeated two good members of Congress, the message went out, if you want to speak out against Netanyahu, you’re going to have to pay a price,” Sanders said. “That kind of is going to inhibit people from speaking out on important issues if they’re afraid that millions of dollars are going to come in against them. It’s a horrific situation and it’s got to be dealt with.”

Even as he is calling for changes to the Democratic Party’s primary processes and attempting to push the party’s agenda to the left, Sanders is already campaigning for Harris. While he has yet to give Harris a formal endorsement, Sanders was one of several lawmakers who took part in a “Progressives for Harris” fundraising and organizing call earlier this month. Sanders is also stepping up criticism of Harris’ opponent, Trump. 

In the past week, Sanders repeatedly called out Trump’s efforts to spread conspiracy theories about the size of crowds at Harris’ rallies. 

“I think we have to look at these incredible lies, preposterous lies, and understand that he is laying the groundwork for saying that, if he loses — and I don’t know that he will — but if he loses the election, he will say, see, I told you it’s all fraud, it’s fake, I really won,” Sanders said. “I think people have got to accept that sad and tragic and painful reality and figure out how we address it. But that is what this is about to be.”

Sanders characterized Trump’s behavior as Orwellian and undemocratic.

“Don’t believe your lying eyes. I, Donald Trump, I’m the only one who knows the truth, and I’m telling you that what you saw on television … it’s a lie, it’s all fake, and I alone have the truth,” Sanders said. “That’s a pretty dangerous situation for a country to be in and I think we have got to take what he’s doing a bit more seriously than we have until now.”

With the Democratic National Convention coming up next week, Sanders is set to take his message to Chicago where he will headline a program dubbed “Progressive Central 2024” that is set to take place on the sidelines of the main event. Sanders offered a coy response and referred the question to the Harris campaign when TPM asked if he would be among the speakers at the DNC. (The Harris campaign did not respond to multiple requests for comment.)

“That’s a top secret,” Sanders said of the convention plans. “I can’t tell you.”

Listen To This: Harris Rising

A new episode of The Josh Marshall Podcast is live! This week, Kate and Josh discuss the mainstream press’ eagerness to end the Harris honeymoon, Donald Trump’s feverish efforts to get back into the conversation and new polling of the race.

You can listen to the new episode of The Josh Marshall Podcast here.

Vance Would Rather Have Trump ‘Offend’ Everyone Than Focus On Policy

Vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance (R-OH) on Wednesday dismissed the concerns of Republicans who have been urging former President Donald Trump to stay on message and focus on policy rather than personally attacking Vice President Kamala Harris.

Since President Joe Biden dropped out and endorsed Harris, Trump has been flailing as he attempts to discredit Harris — spreading lies about everything from her race to her crowd sizes. 

Continue reading “Vance Would Rather Have Trump ‘Offend’ Everyone Than Focus On Policy”  

Political Media’s Faux-Wonk Heel Turn

They probably would have gotten to it on their own. But I think TPM Reader NR is right about the trajectory here.

There’s an added component to your piece today on the media’s call for Harris to do interviews and put forward policies — the demand was a Republican demand first, and the media picked it up. Reporters didn’t come to this in some collective epiphany that they wanted more from the Harris campaign, but instead heard Trump and Vance and their surrogates claiming Harrs was too weak or unprepared or stupid to handle a presser. It is, once again, the media being led around by the right wing on what’s important and not important. 

Continue reading “Political Media’s Faux-Wonk Heel Turn”  

With JD Vance, Things Just Get Weirder And Weirder

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo. Sign up for the email version.

What On Earth?

JD Vance is coming into focus as a living breathing embodiment of the caricature of the Republican man as obsessed with controlling women’s bodies and eager to reduce the complexities of human relations to late-night-dorm-room-debate levels of sophistication. Heavy on bombast, light on normal. The more sweeping and reductive the assertions, the better!

The latest example is a resurfaced podcast interview of Vance from 2020, before he ran for U.S. Senate in 2022. In fairness, it’s the host, not Vance, saying the weirdest stuff. But Vance doesn’t argue or pushback, let alone bail on the interview. He actually seems to agree with some of the more whackadoodle assertions by the interviewer and uses them to launch into a screed against neo-liberalism predicated on the “transgressiveness” of his Indian mother-in-law showing up to help with his and his wife’s newborn:

Fortunately for Vance, post-menopausal women aren’t really in play in this election. I joke.

Trump’s Front Porch Candidacy

Warren G. Harding and his wife Florence on the front porch of the Harding house in Marion, Ohio, from which Harding conducted his successful campaign for the Presidency. (Photo by Library of Congress/Corbis/VCG via Getty Images)

For the second week in a row, Donald Trump has summoned reporters to one of his properties to hold a press conference. Today’s audience with the media will be at his club in Bedminster, NJ.

Trump was on the road in North Carolina yesterday, so he’s not ensconced like a late 19th century pol on his Ohio porch greeting visitors (or like the photo above of the 1920 campaign of Warren Harding, our previously most corrupt president, with due respect to Tricky Dick). But his campaign schedule has been awfully light, and he’s holding pressers in Florida and New Jersey, two states very much not in play.

There’s a combination of factors driving him toward these regular pressers:

  • It’s a flex: You come to me.
  • It’s attention-seeking: He’s up against Kamala Harris, who has entered the zeitgeist.
  • It’s a contrast: I’ll do pressers unlike Harris.

It’s also an effort to drive the news agenda, since his campaign rallies can’t guarantee him uninterrupted national TV time the way they used to. Perhaps his pressers shouldn’t be either, especially when reporters’ questions aren’t audible like last week’s presser.

2024 Ephemera

  • The Harris campaign is rushing out a $90 million TV ad buy in seven battleground states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin – in the coming weeks to introduce her to voters.
  • NYT: When Will They Speak Again? Once Close, Biden and Pelosi Are at Odds.
  • Politico: A Florida referendum is putting Trump in a bind on abortion

By The Numbers

  • Quinnipiac University poll: Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump 48%-45% among likely voters in Pennsylvania. This is Quinnipiac first poll of likely voters in the state this cycle.
  • Pew Research Center: Harris holds a 46%-45% lead over Donald Trump among registered voters nationally, a flip from a month ago when the same poll gave Trump a 44%-40% lead over President Biden.
  • NV-Sen: The Cook Political Report has moved the race from toss-up to leans Democrat after its latest polling shows Sen. Jacky Rosen with a whopping 18-point lead (probably an outlier).

Putting A Thumb Heavily On The Scale

To the dismay of abortion rights advocates, the Arizona Supreme Court ruled that the informational pamphlet sent to all voters about the proposed state constitutional amendment to enshrine abortion rights can refer to an embryo or fetus as an “unborn human being.”

The ruling Wednesday ratified language that Republican lawmakers had come up with, over the objections of supporters of the constitutional amendment who argued that the language was neither impartial nor objective. Ya think?

Trump Campaign Hack Watch

  • In his first public comments on the hack of his campaign, Donald Trump semi-declined to say what the FBI has told him about who is responsible:  “I don’t want to say exactly, but it was Iran.”
  • Brian Beutler: Trump Email Hack Is A Moment Of Reckoning For Him—Or The News Media
  • Google issued a new report confirming some of the reporting on Iran’s efforts to penetrate both presidential campaigns, seeming to refer to Roger Stone but not naming him. Specifically, Google focused on APT42, which it describes as an “Iranian government-backed threat actor:

In May and June, APT42 targets included the personal email accounts of roughly a dozen individuals affiliated with President Biden and with former President Trump, including current and former officials in the U.S. government and individuals associated with the respective campaigns. We blocked numerous APT42 attempts to log in to the personal email accounts of targeted individuals. …

We observed that the group successfully gained access to the personal Gmail account of a high-profile political consultant. …

Today, [Google] continues to observe unsuccessful attempts from APT42 to compromise the personal accounts of individuals affiliated with President Biden, Vice President Harris and former President Trump, including current and former government officials and individuals associated with the campaigns.

Keeping An Eye On This

A military judge has set an Aug. 20 deadline for both sides to brief him on whether Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin had the authority to revoke the plea bargains reached with the 9/11 defendants.

Must Read

AT SEA – SEPTEMBER 28: In this Handout Photo provided by Swedish Coast Guard, the release of gas emanating from a leak on the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea on September 28, 2022 in At Sea. A fourth leak has been detected in the undersea gas pipelines linking Russia to Europe, after explosions were reported earlier this week in suspected sabotage. (Photo by Swedish Coast Guard via Getty Images)

WSJ: A Drunken Evening, a Rented Yacht: The Real Story of the Nord Stream Pipeline Sabotage

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