Flash Floods Devastate The Northeast

Heavy rain inundated several states across the northeastern U.S. this week. Storms and flash floods washed out highways and killed at least one person in New York state and one person in Vermont. New York Governor Kathy Hochul declared states of emergency in two counties. Here’s a look at this latest manifestation of a warming planet.

Judge Declines To ‘Flippantly’ Rule From The Bench, So Iowa’s New Abortion Ban Now Takes Effect

An Iowa judge said Friday that it would be “insulting” for him to “flippantly” rule on blocking Iowa’s new six-week abortion ban from the bench, meaning that the ban will be live for at least a few days this weekend. 

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5th Circuit Panel Temporarily Pauses Order Blocking Government From Flagging Social Media Misinformation

A panel of 5th Circuit judges granted the Biden administration’s request for an administrative stay of a widely panned lower court decision that blocked wide swaths of the government from flagging misinformation to the companies that operate social media sites. 

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Can the World Make Enough Artillery Shells to Keep the Ukraine War Going?

If you spend time listening to Trump/Musk/Sacks/Bitcoin anti-Ukraine discourse you’ll hear the following argument: while the U.S. launched (by remote control presumably) its Russia/Ukraine proxy war to degrade Russian military power, quite the opposite has happened. Now the U.S. is running out of artillery shells, thus degrading its own military power. Meanwhile, Ukraine is doomed because we can’t send them any more and Russia can sustain its supply forever. In other words, the U.S. is owned; Russia is on the march; Ukraine is doomed.

This is a bogus argument. The U.S. hasn’t run out of artillery ammunition. Not even close. The U.S. has what amounts to a one-and-a-half-war doctrine. The U.S. needs to be able to fight two major wars simultaneously or, short of that, needs to be able to defeat its adversary in one major war while holding its adversary in the second at bay long enough to win war one and move on to winning war two. A bureaucracy like the Pentagon takes the official doctrine and computes what amount of human and material resources are required to make good on it and then is responsible for making sure all of that is available if and when those wars break out. This is basically what Joint Staffs do. That includes, among many other things, stockpiling enough artillery and ammunition to meet the needs of fighting those two wars. That’s an almost unimaginable amount of stuff that is still sitting in U.S. stockpiles.

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Eli Crane Refers To Black People As ‘Colored People’ During A House Floor Debate

First term Rep. Eli Crane (R-AZ) referred to Black people as “colored people” Thursday night during a floor debate over an amendment he proposed for the House-passed National Defense Authorization Act, the legislation that authorizes the annual budget for the U.S. military.

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Democratic Women Vets In House Express ‘Shock’ That So Few Republicans Voted Against Abortion Amendment 

Reps. Mikie Sherrill (D-NJ) and Chrissy Houlahan (D-PA), the only two female Democratic veterans in the House, expressed shock Friday that the vast majority of House Republican “moderates” voted for a bundle of far-right amendments on the defense bill the evening before. 

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Democrats Spitball Fixes To Judge Shopping While Right-Wing Actors ‘Game The System’

In a very short span of time, “judge shopping” went from a wonky, academic concern to one on the lips of many in the Democratic caucus. 

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Donald Trump, Welcome To Jack Smith’s Rocket Docket

A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.

Damn, They’re Moving Fast

Special Counsel Jack Smith is operating at lightning speed in the Mar-a-Lago case. TPM’s Josh Kovensky has a rundown of the latest filing in the case, but beyond the specifics of the blistering arguments over trial dates, classified information, and other pretrial matters, the overwhelming impression left by Smith’s filing is that prosecutors are operating at breakneck speed.

“The government really did have this prosecution all prepped to go,” Marcy Wheeler notes.

Smith’s team is turning over discovery quickly, it’s indexing discovery to make it easier for the defense team to analyze and assess, it’s expediting the process of obtaining security clearances for defense counsel, it’s turning over materials it doesn’t have to provide. The list goes on.

I realize that this is impression Smith’s filings are intended to create with the judge and the public, including me. But both things can be true: Smith wants to look like he’s moving with dispatch and being accommodating of the former president, and the best way to do that is to actually move with dispatch and be accommodating.

Two things jump out: 1) For those of us used to seeing relatively slow-moving, plodding, bureaucratic prosecutions, this is noticeably different; and 2) it shows that Smith gets that time is of the essence to get this case to trial before the 2024 election.

BREAKING …

Special Counsel Jack Smith has sent a target letter to a Trump Org employee at Mar-a-Lago who prosecutors suspect perjured himself before the grand jury in May, ABC News reports:

Investigators have been scrutinizing the employee’s role in the handling of surveillance footage at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago estate that was sought by federal prosecutors last summer, sources said.

Investigators are also interested in any subsequent conversations he had with other Trump Organization employees, including Walt Nauta, who was indicted alongside Trump in June on charges related to his own alleged efforts to obstruct the investigation.

Stay tuned.

New Jan. 6 Grand Jury Witnesses Confirmed

In the past 24 hours, we’ve had new confirmation of witnesses who have testified in recent days to Special Counsel Jack Smith’s DC grand jury investigating the higher-ups in Trump’s 2020 election subversion effort:

Hate To See The Screws Put To Jared Kushner

NYT:

Federal prosecutors investigating former President Donald J. Trump’s attempts to overturn the 2020 election have questioned multiple witnesses in recent weeks — including Mr. Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner — about whether Mr. Trump had privately acknowledged in the days after the 2020 election that he had lost, according to four people briefed on the matter.

A quick note: The NYT reporting on motive and intent in the Jan. 6 realm has been a little off. Not wrong exactly, but striking a few off keys along the way. For instance, private acknowledgements that Trump knew he lost would be most helpful for prosecutors not in the Jan, 6 case-in-chief but in the financial crimes aspect of the investigation. Here’s an explanation on that:

Judge Comes Down Hard On Rudy Giuliani

Rudy Giuliani is flirting with disaster in the defamation case against him by Georgia poll workers Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss. Yesterday, U.S. District Judge Beryl Howell:

  • Noted that Giuliani had blown the July 7 deadline for paying the plaintiffs $90,000 in attorneys fees for an earlier discovery dispute in the case and gave him until July 25 to pay up;
  • threatened him with severe sanctions up to and including contempt of court or a default judgment against him if he persisted in not complying with his discovery obligations.

Arizona Launches Its Own Fake Electors Probe

Since May, newly elected Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes (D) has had a team of prosecutors looking at Trump’s fake elector scheme in the state, the WaPo reports.

Put Up Or Shut Up

The Georgia State Election Board is suing an old TPM fave: True the Vote. At issue are unproven claims made by the Texas-based voter fraud bamboozler org about ballot harvesting in the 2020 election. Georgia has subpoenaed the group for evidence substantiating its claims, and the group has refused to comply, leading to the lawsuit.

“Allegations of election irregularities need to be accompanied by evidence,” said Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. “I encourage anyone with such evidence to turn it over and it will be fully investigated. But if you don’t have the evidence, don’t come into Georgia and make far-fetched and hyperbolic claims. It’s long past time to put up or shut up.”

U.S. v. Trump, Part II

The good people at Just Security have produced a model prosecution memo for Trump’s attempts to subvert the 2020 election. If diving deep into the case against Trump for everything leading up to and including the Jan. 6 attack is your jam (hello, fellow traveler!) – and you don’t have real work to do this morning – have at it.

Cassidy Hutchinson Snags a Book Deal

The former aide to Trump White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows who became a blockbuster witness for the Jan. 6 House select committee has a book deal with Simon & Schuster. “Enough” is due out Sept. 26.

Crap, Where Did I Leave My Cocaine?!?

The Secret Service released a statement Thursday confirming most of the reporting around the cocaine found near a public entryway to the White House:

  • It was confirmed to be cocaine by an FBI lab.
  • No other physical evidence – neither fingerprints nor DNA – could be obtained from the cocaine or its packaging.
  • Video surveillance footage did not provide any leads or other information to help identify suspects among the hundreds of people who had passed through that area of the White House.
  • Without physical evidence to compare against the pool of known people who were in that area of the White House, the Secret Service has closed the investigation.

Someone out there has an amazing story to tell.

He Sure Does!

The Messenger: Former CIA Director Jim Woolsey Keeps Popping Up in Trump-Tied Cases of Illicit Foreign Intrigue

Synagogue Gunman Eligible For Death Penalty

The federal jury in Pittsburgh that previously found Robert Bowers guilty of the Tree of Life synagogue massacre has now determined that he is eligible for the death penalty.

Capital cases are usually bifurcated into a guilt phase and a penalty phase. But in this case, the penalty phase was further bifurcated. In the first portion of the penalty phase, the defense spent the last two and half weeks arguing that the gunman was too mentally ill to form the necessary intent to kill his victims. The jury found otherwise and will now turn to the question of whether to impose a death sentence.

On The Reproductive Rights Front …

  • The FDA approved for the first time an over-the-counter birth control pill.
  • The GOP-controlled House passed an amendment to the defense authorization bill limiting abortion access for military personnel.
  • Planned Parenthood has already sued to block Iowa’s new six-week abortion ban, even before Gov. Kim Reynolds (R) signed it into law, which she promised to do today.

Pickup Opportunity For Dems?

A state appeals court in New York has ordered the state’s congressional district map to be redrawn, potentially giving Democrats an opening to do some partisan gerrymandering in their own favor. The congressional districts were redrawn after the 2020 census, but the map ultimately used in the 2022 midterms was not nearly as favorable to Democrats as it could have been, which was significant in a year Republicans won the House with a miniscule four-seat majority. As many as half a dozen House seats could be in play here.

No He Didn’t!

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States’ Anti-LGBTQ Laws Keep Getting Struck Down For Limiting Free Speech

This article is part of TPM Cafe, TPM’s home for opinion and news analysis. It was originally published at The Conversation.

Nearly 500 anti-LGBTQ bills have been introduced in state legislatures in the U.S. in 2023. Many of those bills seek to reduce or eliminate gender-affirming care for transgender minors or to ban drag performances in places where minors could view them.

Most of those bills have not become law. But many of those that have did not survive legal scrutiny when challenged in court.

Anti-LGBTQ laws that federal judges have concluded do not pass constitutional scrutiny include anti-trans legislation in Arkansas and anti-drag legislation in Tennessee.

A notable feature of these rulings for me — a First Amendment scholar — is how many rely on the First Amendment’s protection of free speech. In several of the decisions, judges used harsh language to describe what they deemed to be assaults on a fundamental American right.

Here’s a summary of some of the most notable legal outcomes:

Drag performances

Several states passed laws aimed at restricting drag performances. These laws were quickly challenged in court. So far, judges have sided with those challenging these laws.

On June 2, 2023, a federal judge permanently enjoined Tennessee’s attempt to limit drag performances by restricting “adult entertainment” featuring “male or female impersonators.” When a law is permanently enjoined, it can no longer be enforced unless an appeals court reverses the decision.

The judge ruled on broad grounds that Tennessee’s law violated freedom of speech, writing that it “reeks with constitutional maladies of vagueness and overbreadth fatal to statutes that regulate First Amendment rights.” He also ruled that the law was passed for the “impermissible purpose of chilling constitutionally-protected speech” and that it engaged in viewpoint discrimination, which occurs when a law regulates speech from a disfavored perspective.

Three weeks later, a federal judge granted a temporary injunction against Florida’s anti-drag law on similar broad grounds.

And in Utah, a federal judge required the city of St. George to grant a permit for a drag show, ruling that the city had applied an ordinance in a discriminatory manner in order to prevent the family-friendly drag show from happening. As in the other cases, the judge’s ruling was based on First Amendment precedent.

Gender-affirming care

On June 20, 2023, a federal judge permanently enjoined an Arkansas law, passed in 2021 over the veto of then-Gov. Asa Hutchinson, preventing transgender minors from receiving various kinds of gender-affirming medical care, including puberty blockers and hormone therapy.

The judge held that Arkansas’ law violated the Fourteenth Amendment’s equal protection clause — which ensures laws are applied equally regardless of social characteristics like race or gender — because the law discriminated on the basis of sex.

Arkansas claimed its law was passed in order to protect children and to safeguard medical ethics. The judge agreed that these were legitimate state interests, but rejected Arkansas’ claim that its law furthered those ends.

The judge also held that Arkansas’ law violated the First Amendment free speech rights of medical care providers because the law would have prevented them from providing referrals for gender transition medical treatment.

During June 2023, federal judges in Florida and Indiana granted temporary injunctions against enforcement of similar state laws. This means that these laws cannot be enforced until a full trial is conducted — and only if that trial results in a ruling that these laws are constitutional.

A protester inside the Indiana Statehouse advocating against passage of a bill banning gender transition procedures for minors.
A protester inside the Indiana Statehouse advocating against passage of a bill banning gender transition procedures for minors. Jeremy Hogan/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images

Free speech for the LGBTQ community

In striking down these unconstitutional state laws on First Amendment grounds, many judges went out of their way to reinforce the point that freedom of speech protects views about sexual orientation and gender identity that may be unpopular in conservative areas.

In his ruling on the St. George, Utah case, U.S. District Judge David Nuffer stressed that “Public spaces are public spaces. Public spaces are not private spaces. Public spaces are not majority spaces. The First Amendment of the United States Constitution ensures that all citizens, popular or not, majority or minority, conventional or unconventional, have access to public spaces for public expression.”

Nuffer also noted that “Public officials and the city governments in which they serve are trustees of constitutional rights for all citizens.” Protecting the constitutional rights of all citizens includes protecting the constitutional rights of members of the LGBTQ community and of other gender-nonconforming people.

Free speech rights also extend to those who want to use speech in order to help promote the well-being of LGBTQ people. In ruling that Arkansas’ law violated the First Amendment, Judge Jay Moody stated that the state law “prevents doctors from informing their patients where gender transition treatment may be available” and that it “effectively bans their ability to speak to patients about these treatments because the physician is not allowed to tell their patient where it is available.” For this reason, he held that the law violated the First Amendment.

As additional anti-LGBTQ state laws are challenged in court, judges are likely to continue to use the First Amendment to show how such laws fail to respect Americans’ fundamental free speech rights.

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

The Conversation

House Dems And Swing District GOPers May Sink Defense Spending Bill Over Anti-Abortion Amendment

The House passed an amendment Thursday afternoon, by a 221-213 vote, officially adding a provision to limit abortion access for military personnel to the National Defense Authorization Act — the legislation that authorizes the annual budget for the U.S. military, which congressional leaders aim to pass each year without drama. 

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