New Research Highlights Gaps In How Black And White Voters Approach Vote By Mail

PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 02: Voters stand in line for primary elections on June 2, 2020 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Voters in seven states are casting ballots in House Primaries today amid a coronavirus outbreak t... PHILADELPHIA, PA - JUNE 02: Voters stand in line for primary elections on June 2, 2020 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Voters in seven states are casting ballots in House Primaries today amid a coronavirus outbreak that has killed more than 103,000 people in the U.S. and the harshest downturn for American workers in history. In Philadelphia voters are also facing more barriers including travel and public transportation disruptions, road closures, evacuations of buildings and curfews due to civil disturbances over the past week following protests. (Photo by Jessica Kourkounis/Getty Images) MORE LESS
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Hispanic and Black voters in a Philadelphia County requested mail ballots on average several days later than their white counterparts during the primary, according to an internal analysis by a voting rights group.

Later application submissions, in turn, decreased the likelihood that those ballots were returned, the Pennsylvania chapter of All Voting Is Local found.

Altogether, the group’s research from the June primary reinforced the need to close the education gap surrounding vote-by-mail, All Voting Is Local’s Pennsylvania director Scott Seeborg told TPM.

“This shows a need for a way more robust and ground level community education effort,” Seeborg said.

The group found similar trends in Allegheny County, which is home to Pittsburgh, though Allegheny had a higher rate of absentee ballots that were requested and ultimately returned.

The use of vote by mail in the state has skyrocketed this year. Even before the pandemic, Pennsylvania election officials were already preparing for an uptick because of a 2019 law change that removed the state’s excuse requirements for absentee voting.

The June 2 primary over-performed, by several times, those initial expectations.

Nonetheless, Black and Hispanic communities sought to use vote by mail at lower rates than white areas of Philadelphia, the All Voting is Local analysis found, and there was also a gap between white and Black communities in Allegheny County.

“Rich and whiter areas were requesting and returning more absentee ballots. Black, lower income, and areas with more people age 18 to 24 were requesting and returning fewer ballots,” the analysis said. All Voting Is Local shared its analysis with TPM on the agreement that it not be published in full.

The group compared census tract data with state information about absentee voting in the primary, meaning use rates were derived from total population rather than number of registered voters.

Seeborg pointed to a number of factors that could explain why communities of color were less likely adopt the practice.

“Philadelphia … has had an extremely strong history of in-person voting,” he said, particularly among the Black community.

“The introduction of the pandemic created a lot of uncertainty, and that uncertainty was combined with this push to do vote by mail, because the tool was so new,” he said.

One key question is whether delays in ballots being delivery were hampering the use of vote by mail among people of color, given the trend of Black and Hispanic voters submitting their requests later on average than white voters.

In Philadelphia, requests from Black and Hispanic voters were on average received by election offices 10 days later than those from white voters, who on average got their requests in by May 2.

“For Black and Hispanic voters who decided to apply for an absentee ballot, 50% had not done so by May 18 and 19 respectively,” the analysis said. “That means about 50% of Black and Hispanic applications came with less than two weeks before Election Day.”

The average submission date gap between Hispanic and white voters was much less pronounced in Allegheny County, but still Black voters submitted their requests six days later on average than white voters, who on average submitted their request by May 5.

A “sizable portion” of voters who applied to vote by mail on May 19 or later did not ultimately submit those ballots, the analysis said.

About 40 percent of Allegheny County residents who applied to vote absentee within that period did not submit those ballots, while that rate was 30 percent in Philadelphia County.

Seeborg told TPM that, beyond the need for more education around vote-by-mail, the research highlights the need for making in-person voting and drop boxes for absentee ballots widely accessible this fall, even as more people than ever choose to vote absentee. He also called on legislators to allow for voters to drop off mail ballots at in-person election sites.

“The pathway to victory, if you will, on getting the ballot in was really narrow” in the primary, Seeborg said, particularly as the civil unrest at the time of the early June primary made Philadelphia’s in-person voting sites and drop boxes less accessible.

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