Census Bureau Study Ups The Estimate For Non-Response Due To Citizenship Question

NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 3: Signs sit behind the podium before the start of a press conference with New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman to announce a multi-state lawsuit to block the Trump administration from add... NEW YORK, NY - APRIL 3: Signs sit behind the podium before the start of a press conference with New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman to announce a multi-state lawsuit to block the Trump administration from adding a question about citizenship to the 2020 Census form, at the headquarters of District Council 37, New York City's largest public employee union, April 3, 2018 in New York City. Critics of President Donald Trump's administration's decision to reinstate the citizenship question contend that that it will frighten people in immigrant communities from responding to the census. The Trump administration has stated a citizenship question on the census will help enforce voting rights. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images) MORE LESS
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June 24, 2019 12:01 pm
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Census Bureau experts have revised their estimate for the effect of a citizenship question in the census, with a study released this past weekend that found it will cause a greater non-response than previously believed.

The Census Bureau had previously assessed that the question would prompt 5.8 percent of households with at least one noncitizen to not respond to the survey. At the time, the estimate was described as “conservative.”

Sure enough, theCensus Bureau has now found that at least 8 percent of households with at least one noncitizen will not respond to survey.

Overall, the study found, that the question would prompt a “2.2 percentage point drop in self-response in the 2020 census, increasing costs and reducing the quality of the population count.”

The analysis was based on how respondents reacted to the question’s presence on a smaller scale survey the┬áCensus Bureau conducts, the American Communities Survey. The Census Bureau is currently running a field test of the question, but only so it can better design the follow-up operation for obtaining the information from the households that don’t respond to the 2020 census.

The Supreme Court will rule whether the question will stay on the census in a decision that is expected this week.

Read the new study below:

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