A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things. This is TPM’s Morning Memo.
Not A Lot Of Options
Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) vowed during a press conference on Tuesday that the Senate will vote to codify abortion rights next week after a leaked draft of a Supreme Court majority opinion revealed that the high court is on track to strike down Roe v. Wade.
- Schumer acknowledged that the vote won’t actually go anywhere, at least not where it truly matters. By his own admission, the main point would be to get every lawmaker’s stance on abortion “on record” ahead of the 2022 midterms.
- Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) made it clear on Tuesday that Roe’s now-inevitable demise hasn’t changed their minds about clutching onto the filibuster. And in Manchin’s case, why would it? He voted with Republicans to filibuster a bill that would’ve codified abortion rights in February, and he was the only Democrat who voted to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court in 2018.
Where Abortion Will Be Banned Post-Roe
Once the Supreme Court hands down its now-expected ruling that will overturn Roe v. Wade and leave abortion rights up to the states, abortion will be banned in 23 states, per analysis by NBC News.
- 13 of those states have “trigger laws” that enact their bans once Roe gets struck down.
- On the flip side, states like California, New York, Oregon and Washington have enshrined abortion rights into law.
Trump Loses Bid To Pause Contempt Order
An appellate court on Tuesday shot down Trump’s request to stay a New York judge’s contempt order that requires the ex-president to pay a fine of $10,000 per day until he complies with the New York state attorney general’s subpoena. Trump made the request as he appeals the contempt order.
- So those $10,000 daily fines will keep racking up until Trump either complies with the order or until at least May 23, which is when the appellate court is scheduled to hold his appeals hearing.
- Trump was stuck with the $80,000 in fines he owed on Tuesday as a result of the appellate court’s rejection of his request.
‘JP Mandel’ Clinches Victory In Ohio GOP Primary
Per the Associated Press, Trump-endorsed Ohio Senate hopeful J.D. Vance has won the Republican primary on Tuesday, surviving the resurfacing of anti-Trump comments he made in 2016, including the one in which he compared Trump to Adolf Hitler.
- Now he’ll be facing off against Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH) in the general election this fall. Ryan defeated his challengers by a landslide, according to the votes reported by the AP.
- Vance can take a breath of relief that his bid wasn’t sunk by a potential write-in campaign after Trump called him “J.P.,” then “J.D. Mandel” during a rally several days ago.
What You Can Expect To Hear From Republicans On SCOTUS Killing Roe
Axios, as helpful a resource for this kind of thing as ever, obtained talking points currently being circulated by the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) in the face of the Supreme Court being on the cusp of dismantling Roe.
- One point argues that “elected officials, not unelected judges, should reflect the consensus of the people.” Hmm, okay.
- Another fun part is the deliberately vague language about giving women (and other people who can give birth) “some assistance” in the adoption process that they’ll be forced to resort to (on paper) when anti-abortion conservatives get their way.
EU Proposes Ban On Russian Oil
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced on Wednesday that the E.U. is proposing a ban on Russian oil imports as part of another round of sanctions on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine.
- The crude oil supply would be phased out in six months under the proposal, according to Leyen.
- All E.U. member states still need to approve the proposal, however.
NY Governor Taps US Rep. To Replace Indicted Lt. Guv
New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D) announced on Tuesday that she had appointed Rep. Antonio Delgado (D-NY) as lieutenant governor and her running mate in her reelection bid after Lt. Gov. Brian Benjamin (D) was indicted on corruption charges and resigned.
- The appointment came a day after the New York state legislature passed controversial election legislation at Hochul’s urging that would kick a candidate off the state ballot if they were arrested or charged after being nominated.
- Delgado will have to give up his congressional seat immediately. Per the New York Times, he was in for a tough reelection fight.
There’s A Data Firm Selling Location Data On People Going To Abortion Clinics
A company called SafeGraph is selling location data that shows where people who go to clinics like Planned Parenthood came from and how long they stayed there.
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They should vote on a version of this bill every day. Like the pledge of allegiance.
“EXTRA, EXTRA!! EVERY DEMOCRAT IS PRO-CHOICE AND EVERY REPUBLICAN IS ANTI-ABORTION!! READ IT NOW!!”
Comparing tRump to hitler in 2016 was considered bad at the time. Today’s repubs would say ‘hell yeah’ to the comparison.
The best thing I’ve seen so far on the insufficiently considered consequences of this is a tweet warning men that child care usually starts at about a quarter of your salary.
Um, symbolic ain’t gonna cut it.
GOTV.