A number of things have happened over the course of the last year that make me fairly confident that Russian intervention in the 2016 election provided the winning margin for Donald Trump. This doesn’t mean there weren’t numerous other factors or that it was the largest factor. It is mainly because the margin was so tight that it almost goes without saying that without it the outcome likely would have been a Clinton victory. I note this premise as a preface to this point. There is now a 5 Justice hard right majority on the Supreme Court, the oldest member of which, Clarence Thomas, is 70 years old and in apparently robust health. We should now be looking at a very different 6 to 3 progressive majority in which Gorsuch and Kavanaugh are absent and Merrick Garland and another Justice are present. Read More

Of all the things that have happened over the last two weeks, it’s not the biggest problem. But it has been gnawing at me. I believe it actually is a big deal, albeit in a somewhat oblique way. Let’s start with Senator Susan Collins today on CNN. Collins told Dana Bash: “I do not believe that Brett Kavanaugh was her assailant. I do believe that she was assaulted. I don’t know by whom. I’m not certain when.” I focus on Collins only because it is a simple, clear statement. But the great majority of Senate Republicans have made some version of the same argument.

So let’s just say it. This is a preposterous. Read More

In the wake of Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination and confirmation as a Supreme Court justice, several liberals have argued that if the Democrats win a majority again in the White House and Congress, they should consider packing the court and even limiting the tenure of court justices. I agree with these proposals by Paul Starr in The American Prospect and Barry Friedman in The New York Times. But the court’s role as a reactionary institution – one that desparately needs reform – began before Kavanaugh’s nomination.

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As we settle into a post-Kavanaugh confirmation world, I wanted to flag a few posts you may have missed over the weekend, posts where I took some initial stabs on what the whole drama meant, what we can draw from it. First, this: Kavanaugh saved himself with his blistering response to Blasey Ford. Without that primal scream, I suspect he would have been defeated. He embodied Trump and won a seat on the Court because of it. Then Rule breaking. Rule breaking, largely under the leadership of Mitch McConnell, secured two Supreme Court seats for Republicans. The rule breaking worked. Expect a lot more of it. Finally, this won’t end. If the Democrats control the House of Representatives next year, they will undertake the kind of investigation Republicans refused to do. As I explained here, there’s a lot to look at.

We’re now watching the President’s impromptu appearance with outgoing Ambassador Nikki Haley. The closest they’ve come to an answer is Haley saying she believes in rotating top officials with some regularity. She decided that four weeks before the election made sense. Meanwhile, CNN reports that both John Bolton and Mike Pompeo were taken by surprise by Haley’s announcement. Haley was effusive, going so far as to laud Jared Kushner as a “hidden genius.” Read More

Here’s something I’ve been watching for a bit. You can see here that “New Fox” has just hired Hope Hicks as its chief communications officer. Sort of a lateral transfer in the state propaganda world. But here’s something worth noting about “New Fox”. Read More

The most repeated explanations of Nikki Haley’s departure today are that she wanted to make money in the private sector or she wanted a ‘breather’. I just wanted to reiterate that this makes absolutely no sense. People do sometimes leave high profile positions for those reasons. But not without warning and not four weeks before an election. President Trump claims she gave him a heads up six months ago. But he’s a notorious liar. Various reports claim that neither John Bolton nor Secretary of State Pompeo knew anything about it. Apparently nobody did.

I’m not saying there’s some big scandal lurking here. But these explanations do not hold up. There’s certainly some as yet unknown driver of this decision.

The fate of exiled Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi has been bubbling through the news for the last week while most of our focus was on Brett Kavanaugh and the impending midterm election. But tonight it took a decidedly more ominous turn, one that involves not only the possibility of a brutal extra-legal killing but scandal reaching into the Trump administration itself. Read More

As I explained last night, we should be considering whether the Trump administration involved itself — even at the passive level of failing to act in deterrence — in the apparent murder of Saudi dissident Jamal Khashoggi. Trump’s and Kushner’s relationships with the ruling Crown Prince run incredibly deep and involve not only to foreign policy but private business deals as well. Kushner and MBS once stayed up all night together in Riyadh brainstorming how these two degenerate princelings could reshape the region. The Saudis even seem to have played some role getting Trump elected in 2016.  Read More

Don’t miss the fifth installment of our 10 part series on voting rights and democracy. The Georgia Governor’s race pits a hardened vote suppresser Brian Kemp against Stacey Abrams, a long time champion of voting rights in the state. The fact that Kemp is a hardcore Trumping white man and Abrams is a progressive African-American woman makes it a battle that brings together, in stark relief, almost everything going on in the country today. It’s very close and voting rights are on the ballot. Cam Joseph has our story.