Professor of History and author, Allan Lichtman will be in The Hive on Thursday, June 1st at 1 PM EST to discuss impeachment. Over the course of his career he has correctly predicted the outcomes of all US presidential elections since 1984, including Trump’s victory in 2016. His latest work, “A Case For Impeachment,” illuminates exactly how the impeachment of President Trump might work by showing how his actions—past or future—make him uniquely vulnerable to impeachment proceedings. Submit your questions at any time or join us on Thursday! If you’d like to participate but don’t have TPM Prime, sign up here.

We seem to have our first full GOP/Rus collusion story, albeit with a relatively low level GOP operative in Florida.

Strongly suspect there are many more to come.

We’ve had a number of disquieting reports today from President Trump’s trip to Brussels and a meeting of NATO leaders. I want to step back from the particulars and look at the larger picture.  Read More

We are a mere 16 Prime sign ups short of our goal of 1000 sign ups for May. Awesome. Sign up now to get us past that milestone today. That will help us get a leg up on our annual drive which starts June 1st.

It’s been a few months (actually back to February 12th) since I did my last full timeline trying to make sense of Michael Flynn’s and the rest of the Trump Entourage’s role in the unfolding Russia drama. We’ve learned quite a lot since early February, to put it mildly. Why timelines? We think and exist in time. It’s the premise and check on the key dynamic necessary to understand anything: causality. For all these reasons I’ve always found them a critical first step to help me synthesize scatterings of information. So I’m back to constructing another. There’s so much out there that I’m going to need your help putting it all together. I’m going to start with the key developments but once I have that in place, I’m going to ask for your help filling in the details. More soon.

We’ve just had some highly disturbing, vaguely surreal new information reported by CNN. Two days ago The Washington Post reported that James Comey’s decision not to notify the Department of Justice about his July Clinton emails press conference was driven in part by emails or documents describing emails the FBI had found in troves of Russian-hacked emails which appeared to compromise Attorney General Lynch’s independence. The gist of the Post story was that Comey may have relied on what was in fact an exquisitely successful disinformation operation to make what turned out to be a highly consequential decision affecting the 2016 election.

This new CNN story contains an important twist. Read More

How freshly baked French President Emmanuel Macron, forewarned about Donald Trump’s antics, brought a dominating handshake game to Brussels and left Donald Trump crying uncle – and saying he’d been a big Macron fan all along.

Though I wrote about the particulars yesterday afternoon, the picture only fully crystallized for me this afternoon. President Trump’s visit to Brussels/Europe wasn’t just another grab bag of impulsive aggression and gaffes. It wasn’t scattershot. It was quite clearly focused on destabilizing and perhaps eviscerating the NATO Alliance and somewhat secondarily, but relatedly, the European Union. This has been the strategic goal of Russia and before it the Soviet Union for decades. The sum total of everything that happened on this trip casts the entire Trump/Russia story in a decidedly more ominous light.

And the light was already quite ominous. Read More

For the last few hours I was writing the post below and then on the phone about something not news related. Then I went online and saw this stunning piece from the Post about Jared Kushner. It has frankly taken me a while to absorb what it means and I’m still trying to. Read More

Let me follow up on last night’s Post blockbuster about Jared Kushner and an attempted back-channel to Moscow. Read More