President Obama’s approval rating just went back into positive territory in our TPM poll average.
So in the pretty unlikely scenario that the Republican nomination fight goes all the way to the convention, what are the rules governing what the delegates would be allowed to do? Here’s our primer.
We now have real evidence that Mitt Romney could have a race on his hands in the state of his birth and the one where his father was a longtime governor. PPP reported last night that its first night of polling in the state showed Santorum well ahead of Romney. And an ARG poll out this morning shows Santorum with a 6 point lead. I’ve always thought Mitt’s connections to Michigan are overstated — his father was governor in the 1960s, which is basically ancient history in political terms, and he hasn’t lived there since he was a kid. But if he were to lose there, where everyone assumes he should win, it’ll be a massive blow.
The Michigan primary is on February 28th.
House Republicans give up entirely on payroll tax front, agree to pay a clean, ten-month payroll tax cut extension.
Rick Santorum didn’t just pick up a couple of low turnout caucus states and Missouri. He’s actually moving into the lead among Republicans nationwide. It’s simply amazing.
Look at the chart after the jump … Read More
After a few hours figuring out whether they were being set up for a Lucy and the Football Scenario, Dems decide they just plain won on the payroll tax fight.
How much money will Mitt Romney (plus SuperPacs) have to spend over the next two weeks to destroy Rick Santorum?
The new TPM Poll Average of the Michigan presidential primary has Rick Santorum opening up a 7 point lead over Mitt Romney (Santorum 36%, Romney 29.1%, Gingrich 17%, Paul 13.5%). This comes on the same day that Santorum is poised to move into the lead nationwide. Read More
There’s no clear proof yet that any of Mitt Romney’s offshore accounts helped him avoid (even entirely legally) US taxes. But if it is ever is proven, he could have a problem with a recent comment in Maine. Pressed on the question of offshore accounts by a hostile questioner at a town hall meeting, Romney denied avoiding any taxes with his offshore accounts.
Yet another big national poll shows Rick Santorum ahead of Mitt Romney nationwide.