A new poll shows Val Demmings leading Marco Rubio by 4 percentage points. (University of North Florida, Demings 48%, Rubio 44%.) I suspect that this poll is an outlier. But it is actually on trend, with a group of recent polls showing a relatively close race. It’s the first independent poll of the race in a month and the first real known-quantity poll since the beginning of 2022. Given the rightward drift of Florida, I would not be getting my hopes up that this is a Democratic pick up. But it is a strong indication that this is a seat Republicans will have to fight to hold on to. Indeed, I suspect some of retrenchment from races in Arizona and Pennsylvania we mentioned yesterday is to defend seats like these.
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Where Things Stand: Walker Talks An Awful Lot About ‘Redemption’ For Someone Who Doesn’t Need Saving|October 5, 2022 6:24 p.m.
Herschel Walker released a new campaign ad this afternoon, two days into his latest scandal’s news cycle. And for someone…
|October 5, 2022 6:19 p.m.
This is quite a statement in Walker’s defense from many vantage points. Newt Gingrich: “I think he is the most…
|October 5, 2022 2:51 p.m.
My friend Steve Clemons, now of Semafor, says that RNC officials believe the Dobbs backlash is fading and popular concern…
|October 5, 2022 11:51 a.m.
From TPM Reader JS … I think you’re spot on that climate is the underlying stressor. Since we live in…