Reality Check

|
February 15, 2020 12:41 p.m.

Just a quick reality check. Since that late January Gallup poll that got everyone freaked out and had a defining impact on the coverage around President Trump’s impeachment acquittal there have been numerous polls released. Some have shown the President toward the high end of the band he’s oscillated within for months or years. Most show him in exactly the same place. Three most recent readings: Morning Consult: 41%, YouGov 40%, Ipsos 41%.

This is no reason for complacency, to put it mildly. I would say that Democrats will need to beat Trump by at least three percentage points to assure an Electoral College victory. Events in the Democratic primaries also give me real reason for concern.

But President Trump remains a historical unpopular President. Other Presidents have been as unpopular and more unpopular. None have ever been so consistently unpopular or disapproved of by a majority of the population literally every day of his presidency.

The White House has been working overtime to demoralize the opposition, using his impeachment acquittal and mostly baseless claims of rising poll numbers to tell a story of a resurgent President on the way to reelection. That’s mostly based on flimflam and traditional con-man tactics.

Introducing
The TPM Journalism Fund: A New Way To Support TPM
We're launching the TPM Journalism Fund as an additional way for readers and members to support TPM. Every dollar contributed goes toward:
  • -Hiring More Journalists
  • -Providing free memberships to those who cannot afford them
  • -Supporting independent, non-corporate journalism
Are you experiencing financial hardship?
Apply for a free community-supported membership
advertisement
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Senior Editor:
Special Projects Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front-End Developer:
Senior Designer:
SPECIAL DEAL FOR PAST TPM MEMBERS
40% OFF AN ANNUAL PRIME MEMBERSHIP
REJOIN FOR JUST $30