Another Ripple of the Dodd Departure

As noted below, Chris Dodd’s departure leaves Democrats in a very strong position to hold the Connecticut senate seat. If yesterday was a dismal day for Democrats in general, as I explain in the post below, it was an even worse one for Rob Simmons.

But there’s another odd and paradoxical beneficiary: Joe Lieberman.I’m far from convinced that Lieberman is really planning on running for reelection in 2012. His actions are simply not consistent with a strong desire to remain in office.

But Blumenthal was sure to run against him. And if he did I can’t see where there’s any way Blumenthal would not have crushed him. As we can see from today’s numbers, Blumenthal is very popular with Connecticut Democrats. And since he’s polling around 60%, he’s popular with a lot of independents too. So he would have taken the Democratic nomination (see this poll to see why that is beyond Lieberman’s reach now) and eviscerated Joe in the general. I think Lieberman’s only real course to reelection is to run as a Republican, get lucky and draw a weak Democratic challenger and pull out a squeaker. Conceivably he could run as an independent, with tacit support from the state GOP and win that way against a weak Democratic contender. Mind you, I’m not saying that’s likely. But he has a much better chance today than he did yesterday.