Mitt Romney is closing out with a big message which seems to be “Mitt Romney has a Big Message!”
In a final bid to win Ohio, the Romney campaign has been exceeding even its own vaunted standard of lying in the last 72 hours on the facts of the auto bailout. Jon Cohn has the story.
Here at TPM we’re making contingency plans to continue our wall-to-wall coverage of Campaign 2012, even as both our offices come under Hurricane Sandy. What are you doing to ride out the storm if you’re in an affected area? Tell us here.
If you simply can’t get enough of the campaign numbers geekery at this point. Here’s another interesting take. Middlebury presidential scholar Matthew Dickinson looking at the latest from Drew Linzer — who’s got another complex model (somewhat like Nate Silver’s) to crunch together all the numbers and tell us what to expect on the 6th.
Linzer’s forecast seems even more bullish for Obama than a lot of people are figuring. But Dickinson walks us through the underlying assumptions and what alternate assumptions could produce different results.
TPM Reader AW reports in …
I was in our local bakery, Colozza’s, today here in Parma, OH. They are selling cookies with portraits of Obama and Romney on them, and tracking the number of sales. As of this afternoon, Obama was up 283 to 270. (I was tempted, but I decided I liked cannolis better than either of them.)
Sen. Reid’s office releases statement on auto accident.
I’ve mentioned a few times that there’s a pattern in the Ohio polls. The premium polls seem to consistently show better results for Obama than the others. Now ‘premium’ can mean a lot of things. But in this case I mean in part a subjective read of the pollster’s quality and reputation and also the ones who use live interviewers and are thus allowed to call cell phones. We did a systematic look at all the Ohio polls. And it’s true. The premium polls — which means the ones who can call cell phones — show a consistently larger lead for President Obama. See the chart.