Pizza Ranch manager in Boone, Iowa debuts “Santorum Salad“.
With all the polls entered and one day before the election, the TPM Poll Average of Iowa is:
Romney, 21.3%
Paul, 20%
Santorum, 17.3%
Gingrich, 15%
Perry, 9.6%
Bachmann, 7.2%
Here’s the latest look at the chart: Read More
Be sure to join us tomorrow night at 8 PM Eastern for live results of the Iowa Caucus, the first ‘voting’ of the 2012 primary cycle. We’ll have live county by county results of the totals out of Iowa.
Campaigns have a way of not working by logical principles or, perhaps we should say, Newtonian physics. But I think Roger Simon has the gist of where the GOP primary campaign is right now. Namely, 1st, 2nd and 3rd are equally wins for Mitt Romney tomorrow night. And a Santorum surge doesn’t matter all that much. Why? Because there are only two candidates in the race who have the wherewithal to seriously challenge Romney over the long haul: Gingrich and Perry. If they’re losers tomorrow night, they’re probably done. And Rick Santorum just doesn’t have the money or the organization or the staying power outside a state like Iowa to seriously challenge Romney.
Like I said, I resist these deductive reasoning approaches to campaign analysis. There are always emergent properties we can’t quite predict. But this analysis is pretty hard to find fault with.
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Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann will head straight from Iowa to South Carolina, bypassing New Hampshire.
What does the typical Iowa GOP caucus participant, with their outsized influence on the nominating process, look like?
He’s tapping into the darker fears about Obama more than you may realize.