Poll: Kentucky Senate Race A Dead Heat

August 19, 2010 2:24 p.m.

A new poll out of Kentucky shows Democratic Senate nominee Jack Conway closing the gap with his Republican counterpart, Rand Paul. The race stands as essentially a dead heat, according to the poll, with Conway just barely ahead 41.7-41.2.

The survey of 801 likely voters was conducted Aug. 16-18 by Braun Research on behalf of Kentucky cable news channel CN2. The margin of error is 3.46%.

The new poll shows a big swing toward Conway. The last Braun research poll, from August 4, showed Paul leading Conway 40.6-31.4.

Other recent polling has shown Paul with a lead in the contest. The TPM Poll Average shows the Republican ahead 45.4-41.0.

But the numbers also show that Conway could be making up ground against the Republican. Check out the polling trendline:

For its part, the Paul campaign dismissed the CN2 poll in an interview with the channel today. Democrats, to no one’s surprise, said the numbers justified their strategy against Paul.

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