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From The Reporter’s Notebook
Donald Trump slammed “phony polls put out by phony media” at a Monday farmers’ roundtable in Boynton Beach, Florida, as TPM’s Esme Cribb reported. “They try and suppress the vote. This way, people don’t go out and vote,” he said. “But we’re winning this race. I really believe we’re winning.” But even Trump’s campaign manager, Kellyanne Conway, acknowledged that the GOP nominee was “behind” in the polls in a Sunday interview.
Agree or Disagree?
Josh Marshall: “The whole self-inflicted wound was classic Trump — broken promises, refusal to answer questions, trying to skip out on his own pledge for give $1 million. It wasn’t until late May that Trump finally came clean under press scrutiny — largely driven by Fahrenthold’s reporting — and wrote a personal check to a Marines service organization. By that time Fahrenthold had gotten a pretty good look at Trump’s modus operandi and the oddity of the Trump Foundation, a family foundation which gave out money that was almost all from people other than Trump — an extremely uncommon way of operating.”
BUZZING: Today in the Hive
From a TPM Prime member: “This contest is so strange that the models of voters may not fit well this year. With both candidates having high negatives, voter attachment is probably less strong for many this cycle. Thus Trump’s death spiral could (a) keep many of his voters home, (b) allow many R-leaning voters to break to Clinton, (c) cause many voters to panic and switch to a safe Clinton at the last minute. The real question is ticket splitting if voters switch candidates at the top of the ticket.”
Related: Harry Reid said he is confident that he has laid the groundwork for Democrats to nuke the filibuster for Supreme Court nominees if they win back the Senate in November.
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