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From The Reporter’s Notebook
As TPM’s Tierney Sneed reported, the delay of the Cadillac Tax, which is included in a tax package Congress is set to pass, could have major implications when it comes to curbing health care spending. It was not just Republicans pushing for the two-year moratorium. Democrats were feeling pressure from labor unions, whose plans were particularly hard hit by the tax.
Agree or Disagree?
In a private chat with TPM Prime members, Josh Marshall answered questions about the 2016 race. On Bernie Sanders’ chances: “If he was going to do it he’d be picking up speed now. But it’s actually Hillary who has been increasing her lead. That’s shown up in the public polls and it’s also shown up in our Insight polls, which are primarily of TPM readers. So I would say his chances of winning the nomination seem remote. But I think there are other things he’s accomplishing short of the getting nominated.”
BUZZING: Today in the Hive
From a TPM Prime member: “Re: Josh’s editorial, i really think it will come down to these two “outsiders”. Jeb was never going to fly, because deep-down the base doesn’t trust or like the Bush family. And it’s not just that Rubio took on immigration, it’s that he actually dared to govern in cooperation with Democrats. The core of the GOP needs to have an election where their “pure” candidate is in the race and race feels like the one where it’s going to happen. So it’s Trump or Cruz. Both are hateful, but Cruz is more disciplined, and he’ll have the Evangelicals for caucus and primary support. So the keys to the clown car go to Ted. Which will be a disaster for the GOP. At least it better be, when you consider the alternative”
Related: Josh Marshall thinks the nominee could very well be Trump.
Have something to add? Become a Prime member and join the discussion here.
What We’re Reading
An 18-year old said she was attacked at knifepoint. Then she said she made it up. (ProPublica)
A guide to what happens when the Fed raises interest rates, illustrated by a Rube Goldberg machine. (The New York Times)
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