Donald Trump comes out ahead by five points in the latest Emerson College poll, surveying likely Iowa voters.
Trump polled ahead of Hillary Clinton, 44-39, with Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein holding 1 percent.
This latest poll shifted TPM’s PollTracker Average for Iowa from a tossup to a right lean.
The most recent poll of likely Iowa voters, from CBS/YouGov, showed a tie between the two major party candidates at 40 percent, with Johnson at 7 percent and Stein at 2 percent. Emerson College has not previously polled Iowa voters.
This poll was conducted Aug. 31-Sept. 1 via automated calls to landlines only, among 600 likely Iowa general election voters. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the Iowa presidential election shows Trump leading Clinton, 44 to 39.1.
