Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) took a seven-point lead over Democratic challenger Katie McGinty in a poll of likely Pennsylvania voters from Emerson College, reversing her lead in recent polls.
Toomey came out ahead, 46-39, in the poll, conducted Aug. 25-28.
McGinty, who served in former President Bill Clinton’s administration, held a steady lead in the last four Pennsylvania Senate poll, leading by three points in a Quinnipiac poll from mid-August.
The new Emerson poll shifted TPM’s Electoral Scoreboard from favoring McGinty to favoring Toomey.
The poll surveyed 800 likely Pennsylvania voters through an automated survey, including only landline phone numbers. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average for the Pennsylvania Senate race shows Toomey leading McGinty, 46.8 to 39.9.
Might as well say poll queried only AARP members.
Landlines.
Exactly! “800 likely Pennsylvania voters through an automated survey, including only landline phone numbers.”
Not a scientifically valid way of random polling in 2016.
Um, I’m having a hard time believing that McGinty will lose a state that Pres. Obama won 52-47 in 2012. In a presidential year.
Really, regardless of the number, it looks like Toomey is leading. And this highlights some of the issues Dems are having in making the downballot elections competitive. They are doing a pretty cruddy job in Ohio too.
Plenty of time, he’s still gonna get whomped by a girl. Just call him Sock-It Toomey…
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qRZvlZZ0DY