Polltracker

Clinton Slightly Narrows Huge Gap With Sanders In New Hampshire Tracking Poll

by Conor Dinan

02.04.16 | 10:28 am

Democratic candidate for President of the United States Bernie Sanders attends His Holiness Pope Francis welcoming ceremony on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C., Wednesday September 23, 2015. The ... Democratic candidate for President of the United States Bernie Sanders attends His Holiness Pope Francis welcoming ceremony on the South Lawn of the White House in Washington, D.C., Wednesday September 23, 2015. The Pope is making his first trip to the United States on a three-city, five-day tour that will include Washington, D.C., New York City and Philadelphia. Photo by Olivier Douliery/Sipa USA MORE LESS

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, according to a University of Massachusetts-Lowell tracking poll released Thursday, but the gap between the two has begun to narrow since Clinton’s wafer-thin victory in the Iowa caucuses.

The UMass daily tracking poll, which releases daily results collating in-person interviews from the preceding three days, showed support for Sanders at 58 percent to Clinton’s 36 percent. Although this result is consistent with polling showing Sanders leading in New Hampshire for most of the fall and winter, the tracking results suggest that Clinton has gained some momentum. Her numbers are up four points from yesterday’s 32 percent and from 30 percent when tracking began. By contrast, Sanders, whose strongest showing was 63 percent of support in Tuesday’s tracking poll, had dropped to 61 percent Wednesday.

The UMass daily tracking poll, sponsored by local news station WHDH, was carried out from Feb. 1-3. Pollsters surveyed 420 likely Democratic voters with a margin of error of 5.3 percentage points.

This post has been updated.

Send Tips

Conor Dinan Conor Dinan grew up in Falls Church, VA, and Paris. He earned his Bachelor’s degree at Oxford University, and contributed articles to the student paper Cherwell and The Isis magazine. He is currently the polling intern at TPM.

Show Comments

Notable Replies

ralph_vonholst says:

February 4, 2016

Sanders will probably win, he is expected to win, by a large margin [1]. But even if Hillary made up ground, and undecideds broke her way so that she lost by say 3-5 percent, our national media would be screaming: “Clinton humiliated in NH; campaign on the ropes”. The headlines have already been written by the narrative pushers.

[1] Maybe not as large as people expect though.
professorpoopypants says:

February 4, 2016

CNN just reported that former NAACP president Ben Jealous is endorsing Bernie.

But how can this be? Hillary surrogate David Brock says “black lives don’t matter to Bernie.”.
brooklyndweller says:

February 4, 2016

I 'm sure Sanders will win NH however, having said that, I think Clinton can give him a run for his money.
jcs says:

February 4, 2016

If she closes the gab, will the media say what happened to Sanders? He was as such and such and he only won by blank.
chammy says:

February 4, 2016

ProfessorPoopypants:

But how can this be? Hillary surrogate David Brock says “black lives don’t matter to Bernie.”.

Brock is not an expert. There have been quite a few black folks coming to Bernie’s side these days and I get that. However, overwhelming the black vote will go to HRC. I still don’t think Bernie will do well in the rest of the primary states and HRC will be the nominee