TPM Polltracker

Democratic State Rep. Paul Davis' lead over Republican Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback has decreased among likely voters, according to a Rasmussen poll released Monday.

In the Monday poll, 47 percent said they would vote for Davis and 43 percent said they would vote for Brownback. In an August Rasmussen poll, 51 percent of likely voters said they favored Davis and 41 percent said they favored Brownback.

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The day after the Kansas Supreme Court ruled that the Democratic Senate nominee should be removed from the November ballot, Rasmussen is out with a new poll showing independent candidate Greg Orman ahead of incumbent Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS) by five points in a head-to-head race.

Orman leads Roberts among likely voters 45 percent to 40 percent without Democratic nominee Chad Taylor on the ballot, according to Rasmussen. The question of whether another Democrat will be on the ballot is still to be resolved, but the poll is further evidence that Orman fares much better if he doesn't have to contend with a Democratic candidate.

When Rasmussen gave respondents a choice among all three candidates, Taylor received 9 percent of the vote and Roberts held a slight edge over Orman, 39 percent to 38 percent.

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Republican Bill Cassidy has opened up a 13-point lead over Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-LA) in a head-to-head matchup, according to a new Fox News poll of likely voters.

On the main ballot, Cassidy leads Landrieu by a narrower 4 points, but there are two other Republicans in the race. The contest will go to a runoff between the top two candidates if none of them break the 50 percent threshold.

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