Sanders Leads Clinton By Double Digits In Latest New Hampshire And Iowa Polls

Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., speaks during a rally at the Greensboro Coliseum Special Events Center in Greensboro, N.C., Sunday, Sept. 13, 2015. (AP Photo/Rob Brown)
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Polls from key early primary states released Monday found Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) leading former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton — by double digits.

When CBS News/YouGov asked Democratic caucus voters in Iowa who they were most likely to vote for, Sanders earned 43 percent while Clinton polled at 33 percent. The margin of error in this state’s poll was 4.4 points.

Last week, a Quinnipiac poll of Iowa voters found Sanders leading the Democratic caucus but within the margin of error.

His lead in the CBS poll was much larger in New Hampshire. The survey of the likely Democratic primary voters there found Sanders led Clinton by 22 points — 52 percent to 30 percent. The margin of error in New Hampshire was 5.1 points. Other recent polls have also shown Sanders leading Clinton in New Hampshire.

In South Carolina, Clinton led Sanders by 23 points, according to the CBS poll, which had a margin of error of 3.9 points.

The polls were conducted online and through phone calls from Sept. 3 to Sept. 10. The Iowa poll was taken among 646 likely Democratic caucus voters while the New Hampshire poll included 548 likely Democratic primary voters. The poll of South Carolina primary voters included 528 likely Democratic primary voters.

Latest Polltracker

Notable Replies

  1. Bernie Corbyn = Jeremy Sanders

  2. I’m waiting for the HRC supporters to remind us, again, that the email catastrophe is just a molehill, and no one cares about email, anyway.

  3. Avatar for condew condew says:

    I am no Hillary supporter, but the poll did ask the question about Hillary’s email server (page 4):

    1. Has Hillary Clinton’s use of a personal email and server while she was Secretary of State made you more likely or less likely to support her for the nomination? (Asked of Democratic primary voters)
      More likely … 4%
      Has not mattered … 74%
      Less likely … 22%

    So the “scandal” hasn’t even convinced the 30% hard-core that Republicans can always count on. If Republicans weren’t even worse offenders using RNC mail servers throughout the Bush years, maybe they could make a case, but as it is the stink of hypocrisy just won’t go away.

    Edit: Never mind, I missed that little “Asked of Democratic voters”. Losing 22% of Democrats is a reason to worry.

  4. OK, I’ll play. Why is she dropping, then?

  5. How dare you release poll numbers with Clinton leading from behind! Why do you want to hurt her? I bet this Caitlin Cruz is a Republican plant.

    In all seriousness, at what point does Hillary Clinton’s poll collapse become an issue. Originally I heard, “Well of course she’s going to have problems in New Hampshire. It’s really white and right next door to Vermont, but Sanders is never going to get traction in conservative Iowa.” Now he’s up double digit there too. Clinton was previously up in South Carolina by poll margins that would make North Korea blush and is down to 23% there. If Sanders overtakes her in South Carolina, is it an appropriate time for Hillary Clinton backers to panic?

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

5 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for nickdanger Avatar for avattoir Avatar for condew Avatar for kevinschmidt Avatar for deewus Avatar for whiteboar

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: