Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is now leading former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in a new poll of likely Democratic Iowa caucus participants.
Sanders polled at 41 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent, according to a Quinnipiac poll released Thursday. While this remains within the margin of error, it marks the first time Sanders has bypassed Clinton among likely Democratic voters in Iowa.
In July Quinnipiac found Clinton leading Sanders by 19 points.
This is the second state in which Sanders edged out Clinton. The first being New Hampshire.
Vice President Joe Biden polled at 12 percent, according to the new poll.
The poll was conducted among 832 likely Iowa Democratic caucus participants by live phone calls via landlines and cell phones from Aug. 27 to Sept. 8. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.4 percent.
I really admire Bernie Sanders, and have seen him surge in NH and Iowa. However, leading by one percentage point in a poll with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percent hardly makes the case that Bernie is really leading in Iowa.
As I recall, in 2008 Hillary won every state. I mean, if you understood statistics, the true meaning of the numbers, margins of error and stuff.
How dare you imply that Hillary Clinton hasn’t already won all the caucusses and primaries! My truthiness tells me that she’s already been elected President and has been added to Mount Rushmore and retroactively made the 5th Beatle.
Sure, but it certainly suggests that the trend, confirmed by pretty much every poll, of Hillary losing support and Sanders gaining support, has continued, and that he appears to have caught up to her in Iowa.
Can Bernie defeat Trump?
…and 6 months ago, how silly would that have sounded?