Trump Pushes Ahead Of Clinton In This Month’s Nevada Polls

FILE - In this Feb. 23, 2016 file photo, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives for a caucus night rally in Las Vegas. Trump is doing relatively well in Nevada, due to the state of the state’s econo... FILE - In this Feb. 23, 2016 file photo, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives for a caucus night rally in Las Vegas. Trump is doing relatively well in Nevada, due to the state of the state’s economy, its large population of noncollege graduates and history of ticket splitting history. (AP Photo/Jae C. Hong, File) MORE LESS
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Donald Trump has taken the lead away from Hillary Clinton in Nevada, following a period of good polling for the former Secretary of State.

Clinton held a steady lead from August to mid-September, reaching nearly a three-point lead toward the end of August in TPM’s PollTracker Average.

Then a Monmouth poll from Sept. 11-13 showing a two-point lead for Trump, 44-42, pushed Trump ahead in PollTracker’s Average for Nevada.

Since then, Trump has taken small leads in the Silver State, with a three-point advantage in both Rasmussen/KTNV-TV 13 Action News and Insights West polls.

The latest poll, from Fox News, shows Nevada voters prefer Trump by four points, 46-42. Though not the first Nevada poll to show a Trump lead, it’s the greatest lead for the businessman to date.

Signs of a Trump lead in Nevada started in early September, where he came out ahead by one point with third party candidates included in an NBC/WSJ/Marist poll, but lost to Clinton by one point in the head-to-head match.

For most of the summer, Clinton led among Nevada voters, usually by a two point lead, like the Suffolk University poll in mid-August. She peaked at a four-point lead in mid-July, from Monmouth University.

In the few early polls of the summer, about one a month in both May and June, Trump polled ahead in Nevada, giving Trump the advantage in the first leg of PollTracker’s Averages.

The state has a recent history of leaning Democratic while President Barack Obama was a candidate, winning Nevada by 12 percentage points in 2008 and again by 6 percentage points in 2012.

The winner of the general election has also won Nevada since 1980.

TPM’s Electoral Scoreboard currently indicates the state leans toward Trump, with the businessman leading the former Secretary of State, 45 to 40.3, the recent Fox poll causing Trump’s lead to expand in PollTracker’s Average.

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Notable Replies

  1. And yet she’s ahead on the TPM electoral vote counter 273-221.

    Sorry. I’m still not worried about this election.

  2. And I’m not worried about Nevada. Not at all. Sorry, but Harry Reid ain’t going out like Tom Harkin. Never gonna happen. The Goodmans will find the damn votes in Vegas.

  3. Avatar for trajan trajan says:

    We should be worried every waking moment of the day and be doing everything we can to get HRC elected as a result. The alternative is too horrifying to contemplate.

  4. I’m worried. I’ve been worried for some time now. This election just has a bad feel to it.

    Good thing we nominated the “electable” candidate. God knows how bad Bernie would be doing against Trump. /sarc

  5. Yeah, because there’s just no way anyone would be questioning his physical fitness for office, bringing up his wife’s questionable behavior at Burlington University, bringing up his old writings, talking about how he repeatedly voted to fund the wars he hates, talking about his ties to Soviet Russia, etc. Nope, he’d be getting a free pass because Bernie!

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