Hillary Clinton’s national lead over Donald Trump has tightened in the last week, according to a new NBC News-Survey Monkey weekly tracking poll out Tuesday.
In a two-way matchup, Clinton leads Trump 48 percent to 44 percent, a two-point drop since last week. That lead falls to two points in a four-way matchup, with the former secretary of state taking 42 percent of the vote and the real estate mogul taking 40 percent. Libertarian Gary Johnson held onto his 11 percent support, while the Green Party’s Jill Stein maintained 4 percent.
TPM’s PollTracker Average reflects a similar narrowing in national voter surveys, with Clinton taking 45.7 percent of the vote compared to 42.2 percent for Trump.
The survey was conducted online between Sept. 5-11 among 16,220 registered voters. The margin of error was 1 percent.
Its all about getting 270 electoral votes. Trump has no path while losing all of those states.
Were did the extra 3% go? Clinton 42%, Trump 40&, Johnson 11%, Stine 4%. Total 97%. That extra 3% could make a huge difference.
Also notable is the overall stability of the race in those key states. Yes, we’ve gone through some periods of polling volatility, the margin between them widens and shrinks, and currently we are probably in a phase of tightening for the last few weeks (which was expected). But, never once was Hillary behind.
We have the votes needed… so, what we need to do is to get them all out to the polls.
Gotta have our daily dose of “horserace hysteria”…yawn.
Mostly off-topic, but Calvin Trillin over at the New Yorker has a great “conspiracy” article about Trump’s corset .
Because, well,
[quote]People are asking—I shouldn’t be saying this, but a tremendous number of people are asking—why does Donald Trump always have on that floppy suit jacket? Why doesn’t he button it? Can he button it?..
What’s he hiding? And have you noticed that his neckties—wide neckties, really huge neckties, huge—come clear down to his belt buckle? How does that happen with a man who is six feet three? That’s all I’m asking. Is he malformed? Does he have a short upper body to go with the short fingers? Does he buy extra-long ties?
[/quote]
If you need a little laugh, this is the best.
State polls lag national ones, so if the race is getting tighter overall, we should see the same happening on the state level in the near future. And I can’t imagine this weekend won her any votes at this point.