After a monumental shake-up last week in which the Democratic nominee attempted to drop out of the Kansas Senate race, incumbent Sen. Pat Roberts (R-KS) trails independent candidate Greg Orman by 1 percentage point, according to a poll released Monday.
The KSN News/Survey USA poll found Orman narrowly edging Roberts, 37 percent to 36 percent, though that is well within the margin of error.
Democratic nominee Chad Taylor, who said he would withdraw from the race last week but whom Secretary of State Kris Kobach (R) has ruled must remain on the ballot in November, still attracted 10 percent of the vote.
The poll surveyed 555 likely voters. Its margin of error is 4.2 percentage points.
Unfortunately, “well within the margin of error” means that that the GOP incumbent is not trailing in the Senate race… it means that the race is a tie, to the degree that the poll can measure it.
Note that the withdrawn Democratic candidate still netted 10 percent. Eventually most of that will go to Orman. And Roberts hasn’t budged from 36%.
Thank you, I was about to ask whether Taylor’s name was included in the poll. At least he’s down to 10% in a relatively short time, and he’ll probably drop more. The problem is that in a close race, even 1 or 2 percentage points could be enough to tip the race.