Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has a nine-point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) among Iowa Democrats, according to a poll released Thursday by the Emerson College Polling Society.
Clinton has the support of more than half of Iowa Democrats, with 52 percent of respondents intending to vote for her. By contrast, support for Sanders stood at 43 percent and support for former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley at 3 percent.
This is good news for Clinton, who led in nearly all Iowa polls conducted in the fall but saw that lead slip away in January after a surge in support for Sanders. The same surge corresponded to a collapse in Clinton’s numbers in New Hampshire, where she had consistently trailed Sanders, who hails from adjacent Vermont.
Clinton has remained the frontrunner in nearly all national polls conducted throughout this period, however.
The Emerson College Polling Society telephone poll surveyed 271 likely Democratic caucusgoers from Jan. 18-20, with a margin of error of 5.9 percentage points.
I’m skeptical that national polls have continued to put Clinton in front of Sanders. I agree that they have in the past, after all, she did lead for most of the race. But all recent polls I have seen have shown either Sanders ahead by a small percentage or Hillary leading by so small of a percentage that it was within the margin of error. How is it I have never heard of this polling organization?
Two polls today puts Hillary up 8 and 9 points. Go Hillary 2016. Only one poll put Senator Sanders up and this could have a lot to do with CNN hosting a town hall wanting a horserace. Also, the CNN poll has men being 53 percent of caucus goers, when in 2008 they were only 43 percent of caucus goers.
That’s it then, horse race over and the best horse won.
If you’re betting on win, place or show. Bet, Hillary then Bernie and forget the show.
show is usually a very poor wager. there are exceptions. o’malley isn’t one of them.
al fisher. what polls are you following? stay away from rasmussen. it will rot your mind.