It’s A Two-Man Race: Trump And Carson Lead Among Iowa GOPers

US Republican Presidential hopeful Ted Cruz and Donald Trump attend a Tea Party rally against the international nuclear agreement with Iran outside the US Capitol in Washington, DC, USA, September 9, 2015. Photo by O... US Republican Presidential hopeful Ted Cruz and Donald Trump attend a Tea Party rally against the international nuclear agreement with Iran outside the US Capitol in Washington, DC, USA, September 9, 2015. Photo by Olivier Douliery/Sipa USA MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Donald Trump led two lists in the Quinnipiac poll of likely Iowa Republican caucus participants released Friday morning: The celebrity tycoon has the most support among Iowa GOPers but he also led the pack on the list of “would definitely not support.”

Trump polled at 27 percent among likely Iowa Republican caucus voters while his most recent adversary, retired neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson, polled at 21 percent. While together, they do not quite represent a majority like in Thursday’s CNN/ORC poll, the political outsiders are close.

No other candidates polled in double digits. In fact, third place went to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) at 9 percent.

While Trump led the crowded field going into the second Republican presidential debate, he also topped the list of candidates Republicans “would definitely not support.”

But Trump is not alone on this list. Twenty-three percent of participants said they “would definitely not support” former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush. Other candidates in double digits on this list are New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham, and Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul.

In July, Quinnipiac found Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker as the top pick of Iowa GOPers (18 percent), but now Walker polled near the bottom (3 percent).

The Iowa caucus is in February 2016.

The poll was conducted among 1,038 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants from Aug. 27 to Sept. 8 by live interviews to landlines and cellphones. The margin of error was plus or minus 3 percent.

Latest Polltracker

Notable Replies

  1. Avatar for darcy darcy says:

    What a lineup.

  2. “It’s a two man race…”

    Well, that statement is over genererous; “A two creature race” seems about right.

  3. The question is how long the <3%-ers can stick in the race. Longer now (the plutocracy) than ever, but how long is that? Past Super-Tuesday?

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for ralph_vonholst Avatar for darcy Avatar for va_dawg

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: