Rubio Surges Behind Trump, Ted Cruz Falls In NH Poll

Republican presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas meets with attendees Tuesday, Jan. 12, 2016, during a campaign stop at Granite State Indoor Range in Hudson, N.H. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)
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Support for Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) in New Hampshire has collapsed precipitously, according to a Suffolk/Boston Globe poll released Friday which showed him falling from second place to fifth place in the state.

By contrast, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) surged by 9 points to a comparatively secure second place but still trailed the longtime frontrunner, businessman Donald Trump, by a 10-point margin.

The poll showed support for Trump at 29 percent and Rubio at 19 percent. Cruz, at 7 percent support, lagged behind not just Rubio but also Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R), who came in at 13 percent and 10 percent support, respectively.

This indicates a dramatic decrease in support for Cruz, who recently pulled off a first-place finish in the Iowa caucuses. Cruz had stood at 12 percent, tied for second with Kasich and beating Rubio at 10 percent, in a late January version of the same poll.

Most New Hampshire polling, both before and after the Iowa caucuses, suggested that Cruz and Rubio were both comfortably ahead of the remaining Republican candidates in New Hampshire and neck-and-neck with each other in the contest for second place. This poll challenges that narrative and underscores Cruz’ difficulty in bringing his performance in New Hampshire in line with his Iowa victory and with nationwide polls showing him to be a clear favorite for second place.

TPM’s PollTracker average shows Rubio pulling ahead in the Granite State, beating Cruz by 15.3 percent to 12.2 percent, while Trump overshadows them both at 32 percent.

The Suffolk/Boston Globe poll was carried out by live telephone interview from Feb. 3-4. Pollsters surveyed 500 likely Republican voters with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

This post has been updated.

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  1. Avatar for imkmu3 imkmu3 says:

    The Suffolk/Boston Globe poll was carried out by live telephone
    interview from Feb. 3-4. Pollsters surveyed 500 likely Democratic voters
    with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

    OMFG Rubio is SURGING!!!1!!!1!

    Wait, what? Democratic voters?

  2. Doesn’t mean a thing. Just you wait until Carson shows up in clean clothes!

  3. Avatar for al al says:

    It looks like the shrill Christian vote that carried the day in Iowa for Cruz don’t mean anything in NH. There’s also the difference between a real election like they have in NH, and the fun activist gathering that passes for politics in IA. Bush’s mama doesn’t seem to be doing much for him, either. Give it up, it isn’t the birthright you thought it was.

  4. Cruz: I am not surprised as New Hampshire values are closely aligned with New York values. Both states are morally bankrupt. I rather not win those states anyway.

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