Sen. Bernie Sanders (D-VT) has moved into the lead in Iowa over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, according to polling conducted by the American Research Group released Monday.
The polls showed Sanders’ support at 47 percent to Clinton’s 44 percent. Sanders held the same 47-44 lead over Clinton in a separate ARG poll of New Hampshire also released Monday.
In Iowa, where Clinton has mostly led in the polls, this is the first recent poll to place Sanders in the lead. This is the first ARG poll of the Iowa Democratic primary this cycle. Most polls taken throughout the fall have put him ahead in New Hampshire by a narrow margin. The last ARG poll of New Hampshire, Dec. 23, showed Clinton leading Sanders 46-43.
Nationwide polls give Clinton a comfortable lead, though closer now than in the summer when Sanders first surged. In Iowa and New Hampshire, however, Sanders has done better than nationally.
The Iowa poll surveyed 400 likely Democratic caucus-goers from January 6-10, with a margin of error of +/- 5%. Both were conducted using live telephone interviews. The New Hampshire ARG poll surveyed 600 likely Democratic voters from January 7-10, with a martin of error of +/- 4%.
Best news I have heard in a long time. Go Bernie!
Clinton’s going to have a hard time if Bernie beats her in both Iowa and NH. I think if Clinton focused on her ability to get her more moderate/mainstream views through a divided Congress it might help. Bernie’s ideas might be great, but have just about zero chance of making it through the conservative Congress we have now (and will for the next 4-8 years). The GOP isn’t going to all of the sudden not be obstructionist if a Democrat wins the whitehouse, I just don’t see Bernie having the political savviness to move legislation, Hillary (and the vast Clinton political machine) I see as being much more capable in that area.
It is interesting that this article does not report the remaining approx ten percent of the vote. I went to a well attended O’Malley event today in Newton Iowa. He presents himself very well and if the media will fairly cover his campaign we will see him continue growing in the polls and he will surprise the pundits in the caucuses.
If Bernie wins Iowa and New Hampshire were will the Hillary voters go?y
" I just don’t see Bernie having the political savviness to move legislation, Hillary (and the vast Clinton political machine) I see as being much more capable in that area."
Sorry Tom, but I have to tell you something: the Republicans hate Hillary almost as much as they hate Obama.