Bernie Sanders netted nearly three dozen delegates after his win in Hawaii, having swept three states. It’s a solid showing, but it didn’t significantly tighten Hillary Clinton’s overall big lead.
Sanders needs to win 67 percent of the remaining delegates and uncommitted superdelegates through June to be able to clinch the Democratic nomination. So far he’s only winning 37 percent.
With 25 Hawaii delegates at stake, Sanders picked up 17. Clinton gained eight. That means in Saturday’s contests, Sanders won a total of 55 delegates, having also won Washington state and Alaska. Clinton picked up 20.
More delegates are likely to be allocated to Sanders in several weeks, when the Washington state Democratic party releases vote shares by district. Still, Clinton maintains a wide advantage in delegates. Based on primaries and caucuses to date, she’s won 1,243 delegates to Sanders’ 975.
Clinton’s lead is even bigger when including superdelegates, or party officials who can back any candidate they wish. Including superdelegates, Clinton has 1,712 delegates to Sanders’ 1,004. It takes 2,383 to win.
This kind of frustrating reporting, that despite winning over 70% of the delegates at stake yesterday Sanders is only winning “37%” of the delegates, was once corrected by the blogosphere – by people like Josh Marshall speaking truth to power.
Now, his site simply acts as a stenographer for the truly bad material coming off the AP wire…
“Triumph”? Really? So, if Clinton wins resoundingly in most of the upcoming contests (and yes, folks, it IS a popularity contest. Every election - whether primary, caucus, or general - is. This is a contest, not a coronation for either Sanders or Clinton, so please stop acting like this is some divine anointment of a candidate), are the headlines going to scream, “Clinton wins biggest victory since D-Day!” or " Most Resounding Triumph Since Sigourney Weaver Kicked The Ass Of The Alien!"?
I’m voting for whichever Dem gets the nod, because the alternative - Trump or any other Republican gaining the White House and the rest of the government - is too horrifying to let happen by staying hope in a pissy mood because my candidate didn’t win the primary contests. But the math is pretty grim for Bernie, and we are not talking Karl Rove psilocybin-influenced math. We are talking math in the realm of reality - you know, the reality that has a liberal bias. So let’s start thinking about kicking some Republican ass and quit daydreaming.
A little birdie landing on a podium during a speech is pretty cute, but it ain’t going to win an election.
Before yesterday, he had to win 57% of the pledged delegates to catch Clinton in the pledged delegates. Last night he won 73% (so far; the article indicates that he might get some more). Obviously, if she “wins resounding”, she, well, wins resoundingly. But I will point out that polls that show HRC winning NY by 42 pts. are dubious. A Chicago Tribune poll the week before IL showed Clinton up by 42 pts; she ended up winning by about a point and a half.
Matthew 10:29 New King James Version (NKJV)
29 Are not two sparrows sold for a copper coin? And not one of them falls to the ground apart from your Father’s will.
This may end up being a tight contest…a little bird told me so.