Pre-Election Day Polls Show National Preference For Dem Control Of House

FRANKLIN, TN - OCTOBER 31: A man exits an early voting polling place at the Williamson County Clerk's office, October 31, 2018 in Franklin, Tennessee. U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who represents Tennessee’s 7th Congressional district in the U.S. House, is running in a tight race against Democratic candidate Phil Bredesen, a former governor of Tennessee. The two are competing to fill the Senate seat left open by Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN), who opted to not seek reelection. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
FRANKLIN, TN - OCTOBER 31: A man exits an early voting polling place at the Williamson County Clerk's office, October 31, 2018 in Franklin, Tennessee. U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who represents Tennessee's 7th Congre... FRANKLIN, TN - OCTOBER 31: A man exits an early voting polling place at the Williamson County Clerk's office, October 31, 2018 in Franklin, Tennessee. U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who represents Tennessee's 7th Congressional district in the U.S. House, is running in a tight race against Democratic candidate Phil Bredesen, a former governor of Tennessee. The two are competing to fill the Senate seat left open by Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN), who opted to not seek reelection. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Two polls released Sunday provide some evidence for Democrats’ optimism about potentially winning back control of the House of Representatives.

Asked which party should control Congress, 50 percent of likely voters answered Democrats and 43 percent answered Republicans, according to the last NBC/Wall Street Journal poll before Election Day.

And an ABC News/Washington Post poll found that Democratic House candidates lead Republican House candidates 52-44 percent among likely voters.

That poll also found high motivation to vote among key groups for Democrats — non-white voters, young voters, liberal voters and voters leaning toward the Democratic candidate in their district — especially compared to 2014 numbers.

While Democrats are defending more incumbent seats than Republicans in the Senate, polling has consistently shown the party has a solid chance of retaking control of the House of Representatives.

The NBC/WSJ poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters on landline and cell phones between Nov. 1-3. Among likely voters, the margin of error is 3.5 percentage points.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll surveyed 1,041 registered voters on landline and cell phones between Oct. 29-Nov. 1. Among registered voters, its margin of error is 3.5 percentage points.

Latest News

Notable Replies

  1. In the 1950s there was still some awareness that wealth came with a bundle of social responsibilities. Bill Gates has tried to drive this idea home with his fellow oligarchs, but many, such as the Kochs and Waltons have gone with a self-enrichment focus. In lower level corporations such as the Plains All American Pipeline Company, which was responsible for the Santa Barbara oil spill a few years back, the fights are all about who gets to use the jet, golf and scraping by on a few million a year. Altruism never enters the discussion. My sense is that government of the rich, for the rich and by the rich ends when the rich stop paying attention to their social duties. Trump, who may in fact be worth a lot less than he asserts to the Forbes 400 people, is an excellent foil for all this. He plays a rich guy, even portraying himself as rich and powerful to the elites. A lot of what this preference is about has to do with wealth, or at least the imagined wealth of the pre-rich.

  2. If democrats don’t take at least one chamber the America I knew and loved will be dead for all practical purposes. As Obama said very clearly it will take several elections to right the “ship of State” back to some semblance of normality.
    trump is a cancer that needs to be excised. Legally, by the ballot box, or resignation, or 25th amendment, or just arrest by breaking the Posse Comitatus Act.

  3. And at the same time he decries the “elites” as some sort of evil group run by the rich like George Soros. Soros is rich so trump say he must be evil. And people give trump’s wealth and elite status a pass. It makes no sense but then that is trump’s style. Lie with no regard to logic. Which brings me to trump’s comment yesterday that we would all (all 350 million of us) have Mexican rapists camping on our lawns. Now, how many of us have lawns? My front yard is cactus and rocks. There are very few “lawns” in Tucson. I think the majority of people in America don’t have lawns because they cannot afford a house, I certainly was in that group for the majority of my life. I am no millionaire.
    I sometimes wish out political system was more like those in Europe that when confidence is lost in the Head of State or Prime Minister, they resign…unless the “head of state” is royalty …but then they have only ceremonial duties which trump could manage.

  4. You are so lucky to live in the Sonoran desert. Here in the Mojave in the Sierra Nevada rain shadow, we can only dream of your 10 or so inches of rain every year and luxurious saguaro forests.

  5. I must admit that the heat gets to me come August when the humidity rises. But when I look over my right shoulder out my widow I see a 25 foot tall multi armed saguaro framed by mesquite trees. it’s one of 5 tall cacti in the yard.

    Given the pokey nature of saguaro and cholla cacti, and other native plants in this desert, pitching a camp here by Mexican rapists might be a challenge.
    And yeah, 10 inches a year of rain is luxury for a desert. Rain in the Atacama desert in South America is measured in millimeters. Some areas there may go 100 years without any rain.
    This image is my yard. There’s a house in there somewhere.
    Some "lawn’ eh trump? The guy is such an asshat.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

45 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for ajm Avatar for jootjoint Avatar for littlegirlblue Avatar for eggrollian Avatar for thunderhawk Avatar for patterman Avatar for teenlaqueefa Avatar for irasdad Avatar for nemo Avatar for esva Avatar for dickweed Avatar for califdemdreamer Avatar for darrtown Avatar for jinnj Avatar for morrigan_2575 Avatar for edhedh Avatar for brian512 Avatar for katscherger Avatar for tomtresh Avatar for bullfox Avatar for brancusi Avatar for rascal_crone Avatar for bucklemyshoe

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: