Pre-Election Day Polls Show National Preference For Dem Control Of House

FRANKLIN, TN - OCTOBER 31: A man exits an early voting polling place at the Williamson County Clerk's office, October 31, 2018 in Franklin, Tennessee. U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who represents Tennessee’s 7th Congressional district in the U.S. House, is running in a tight race against Democratic candidate Phil Bredesen, a former governor of Tennessee. The two are competing to fill the Senate seat left open by Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN), who opted to not seek reelection. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images)
FRANKLIN, TN - OCTOBER 31: A man exits an early voting polling place at the Williamson County Clerk's office, October 31, 2018 in Franklin, Tennessee. U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who represents Tennessee's 7th Congre... FRANKLIN, TN - OCTOBER 31: A man exits an early voting polling place at the Williamson County Clerk's office, October 31, 2018 in Franklin, Tennessee. U.S. Rep. Marsha Blackburn, who represents Tennessee's 7th Congressional district in the U.S. House, is running in a tight race against Democratic candidate Phil Bredesen, a former governor of Tennessee. The two are competing to fill the Senate seat left open by Sen. Bob Corker (R-TN), who opted to not seek reelection. (Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images) MORE LESS
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Two polls released Sunday provide some evidence for Democrats’ optimism about potentially winning back control of the House of Representatives.

Asked which party should control Congress, 50 percent of likely voters answered Democrats and 43 percent answered Republicans, according to the last NBC/Wall Street Journal poll before Election Day.

And an ABC News/Washington Post poll found that Democratic House candidates lead Republican House candidates 52-44 percent among likely voters.

That poll also found high motivation to vote among key groups for Democrats — non-white voters, young voters, liberal voters and voters leaning toward the Democratic candidate in their district — especially compared to 2014 numbers.

While Democrats are defending more incumbent seats than Republicans in the Senate, polling has consistently shown the party has a solid chance of retaking control of the House of Representatives.

The NBC/WSJ poll surveyed 1,000 registered voters on landline and cell phones between Nov. 1-3. Among likely voters, the margin of error is 3.5 percentage points.

The ABC News/Washington Post poll surveyed 1,041 registered voters on landline and cell phones between Oct. 29-Nov. 1. Among registered voters, its margin of error is 3.5 percentage points.

Latest News
Comments
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Associate Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: