TPM Livewire

Senate Dems: Nate Silver Isn't Always Right

AP Photo / Russell G Sneddon

Cecil writes:

All four are senators today because they were superior candidates running superior campaign organizations who made their elections a choice between the two candidates on the ballot. Only three Democratic incumbent senators have lost reelection in the last ten years, and our incumbents are once again prepared and ready

We don't minimize the challenges ahead. Rather, we view the latest projection as a reminder that we have a challenging map and important work still to do in order to preserve our majority.

A day earlier Silver's released a new forecast saying that Republicans had a roughly 60 percent chance of winning the six seats they need to take control of the chamber.

It's still early in the election cycle but Republicans feel that President Barack Obama's approval ratings, Democrats up for re-election in red states, and serious spending by conservative-leaning outside groups will tip the scales in their favor. According to National Journal, Democratic strategists have privately been saying that there's a serious possibility Democrats could lose control of the Senate in 2014.