Nate Silver: Scott Brown’s Chances In New Hampshire ‘A Little Overhyped’

ASSOCIATED PRESS

Data whiz Nate Silver says former Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown’s (R) chances of defeating New Hampshire Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) this fall are “a little overhyped.”

Revealing his Senate forecast on Sunday’s “This Week” on ABC, Silver put the odds of Shaheen retaining the seat at 75 percent. The numbers were less favorable for Democrats in general, with FiveThirtyEight giving Republicans a 60 percent chance of taking control of the upper chamber.

The numbers aren’t the only thing stacked against Scott Brown, however. History points to only two senators in the late 19th century who have represented multiple states in the history of the chamber, as Brown will attempt to do.

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Igor Bobic is the assistant editor of Talking Points Memo, helping oversee the site's coverage of politics and policy in Washington. While originally from Bosnia and Herzegovina, Igor feels best at home on the beaches of Southern California. He can be reached at igor@talkingpointsmemo.com.
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