Trump Regains N.H. Lead While Carson Falls And Rubio Slowly Rises

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks during a campaign stop Monday, Nov. 16, 2015, in Knoxville, Tenn. (AP Photo/Wade Payne)
Start your day with TPM.
Sign up for the Morning Memo newsletter

Real estate mogul and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump regained a commanding lead in the latest poll of likely Republican primary voters in New Hampshire while his biggest rival, retired surgeon Ben Carson, seems to be falling in a WBUR poll released Wednesday.

Trump polled at 22 percent, which represents a four-point climb for the political newbie since the WBUR poll released Nov. 4.

Carson, on the other hand, fell four-points in Wednesday’s poll, but he’s been declining since WBUR’s poll in September. In mid-September, Carson polled at 17 percent. Today he’s tied for second place with Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) at 11 percent. In September, among likely Republican primary voters, Rubio polled at 2 percent.

The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.9 percent, giving Trump a decisive lead.

November has been filled with stories questioning Carson’s honesty, his easily disprovable historical knowledge and, as a candidate with no governing experience, his foreign policy chops.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) followed at 8 percent. No other candidates polled in double digits, but 13 percent of those surveyed chose “don’t know” instead of any of the more than a dozen candidate options.

The poll was conducted among 405 likely GOP voters on Nov. 14 and 15 by live interviews to landlines and cell phones. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.9 percent.

Latest Livewire

Notable Replies

  1. “Don’t know” is 2nd. That must be a source of inspiration for the 2 who are tied for 3rd.

  2. Fiorina’s falling, too. Was at 9 in September, now at 3.

  3. Fiorina’s falling, too. Was at 9 in September, now at 3.

    She is happy that her name is even mentioned.

  4. "Real estate mogul and Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump..."
    

    mogul
    noun mo·gul \ˈmō-(ˌ)gəl
    Definition of MOGUL

    1: also mo·ghul or mu·ghal \ˈmü-\ capitalized : an Indian Muslim of or descended from one of several conquering groups of Mongol, Turkish, and Persian origin; especially : great mogul

    2: a great personage : magnate

    Based on his utter exaggerations of his own net worth, I’m going with definition #1.

    That, of course, makes him our sworn enemy and a terrorist threat. But we all knew that already.

  5. Avatar for darcy darcy says:

    I guess New Hampshire Republicans aren’t stupid. Not yet anyway.

Continue the discussion at forums.talkingpointsmemo.com

31 more replies

Participants

Avatar for system1 Avatar for lockheedkeynesian Avatar for ajaykalra Avatar for rfscalf Avatar for jsfox Avatar for deuce Avatar for old_curmudgeon Avatar for humpback Avatar for avattoir Avatar for ryp Avatar for trippin Avatar for crackerjack Avatar for mantan Avatar for deewus Avatar for daveyjones64 Avatar for sherlock1 Avatar for just2stressed Avatar for darcy Avatar for ryokyo Avatar for esperia Avatar for clauscph Avatar for bankerpup Avatar for boisdevache Avatar for gusfabriani

Continue Discussion
Masthead Masthead
Founder & Editor-in-Chief:
Executive Editor:
Managing Editor:
Deputy Editor:
Editor at Large:
General Counsel:
Publisher:
Head of Product:
Director of Technology:
Associate Publisher:
Front End Developer:
Senior Designer: